Joel Eriksson Ek vs Steven Stamkos
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Steven Stamkos holds a +6.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Stamkos on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Ek wins 54.6% vs right-shot opponents — Stamkos shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Ek 48.8% vs Stamkos 54.4% (-6.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Ek 65.5%
Defensive zone
Ek 83.5%
Neutral zone
Ek 69.7%
Result
Joel Eriksson Ek favored at 73.8%
73.8%
26.2%
Ek
Stamkos
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
5
(7 meetings)
2
5
Ek
Stamkos
Last 7: Ek 2-5 Stamkos
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stamkos
0
3
Ek
Stamkos
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Ek
2
1
Ek
Stamkos
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stamkos
0
1
Ek
Stamkos
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Ek
Stamkos
Edge
Even Strength
47.2% (815)
55.8% (339)
-8.6%
Power Play
53.8% (266)
53.3% (90)
+0.5%
Penalty Kill
47.8% (180)
62.5% (8)
-14.7%
On penalty kill, Stamkos has a +14.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stamkos shoots right. Ek is 54.6% vs right-shot opponents (401).
Ek shoots left. Stamkos is 57.2% vs left-shot opponents (325).
Home / Away
Ek
Stamkos
Home
49.9% (693)
53.4% (208)
Away
47.2% (568)
57.2% (229)
By Period
Ek
Stamkos
P1
46.2%
55.3%
P2
52.6%
52.5%
P3
46.5%
58.9%
OT
54.9%
62.5%
Final 5 min
44.2%
56.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Ek
52.0%▲
46.0%
48.7%
Stamkos
56.0%▲
54.5%
55.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 4, 2026 | 3 | 15:43 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Feb 4, 2026 | 2 | 18:40 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Dec 23, 2025 | OT | 00:39 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Dec 23, 2025 | 3 | 06:08 | Defensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Dec 23, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Steven Stamkos |
| Nov 4, 2025 | 2 | 17:13 | Defensive | Joel Eriksson Ek |
| Nov 4, 2025 | 2 | 13:48 | Defensive | Joel Eriksson Ek |