Scouting Report
Tomas Nosek holds a +4.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Nosek on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Ek wins 44.0% vs left-shot opponents — Nosek shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Ek 47.4% vs Nosek 51.3% (-4.6%)
H2H factor
Nosek leads 8-5 in 13 meetings
Offensive zone
Ek 50.8%
Defensive zone
Ek 65.2%
Neutral zone
Ek 58.7%
Result
Joel Eriksson Ek favored at 56.5%
56.5%
43.5%
Ek
Nosek
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
8
(13 meetings)
5
8
Ek
Nosek
Last 10: Ek 5-5 Nosek
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
3
3
Ek
Nosek
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Nosek
1
2
Ek
Nosek
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Nosek
1
3
Ek
Nosek
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Ek
Nosek
Edge
Even Strength
47.8% (707)
52.7% (355)
-4.9%
Power Play
49.1% (55)
28.6% (7)
+20.5%
Penalty Kill
39.0% (77)
44.0% (25)
-5.0%
On power play, Ek has a +20.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nosek shoots left. Ek is 44.0% vs left-shot opponents (632).
Ek shoots left. Nosek is 51.3% vs left-shot opponents (269).
Home / Away
Ek
Nosek
Home
47.1% (414)
52.8% (214)
Away
47.1% (425)
50.3% (173)
By Period
Ek
Nosek
P1
45.5%
54.2%
P2
50.2%
53.1%
P3
44.3%
46.4%
OT
66.7%
60.0%
Final 5 min
43.2%
52.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Ek
52.0%▲
46.0%
47.1%
Nosek
46.0%▼
49.0%
51.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 3, 2021 | 3 | 07:01 | Offensive | Joel Eriksson Ek |
| Apr 3, 2021 | 2 | 02:52 | Offensive | Joel Eriksson Ek |
| Apr 3, 2021 | 1 | 08:39 | Neutral | Tomas Nosek |
| Apr 1, 2021 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Tomas Nosek |
| Mar 10, 2021 | 2 | 13:17 | Offensive | Tomas Nosek |
| Mar 8, 2021 | 3 | 05:37 | Defensive | Tomas Nosek |
| Mar 3, 2021 | 3 | 16:38 | Neutral | Joel Eriksson Ek |
| Mar 3, 2021 | 3 | 09:18 | Offensive | Joel Eriksson Ek |
| Mar 3, 2021 | 2 | 18:08 | Offensive | Tomas Nosek |
| Mar 3, 2021 | 2 | 05:38 | Defensive | Joel Eriksson Ek |
| Mar 1, 2021 | 3 | 06:53 | Defensive | Tomas Nosek |
| Mar 1, 2021 | 1 | 14:07 | Offensive | Tomas Nosek |
| Mar 1, 2021 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Tomas Nosek |