Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (48.7% vs 49.6%). Ek wins 45.9% vs left-shot opponents — Kozak shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Ek 48.8% vs Kozak 49.7% (-0.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Ek 68.9%
Defensive zone
Kozak 66.9%
Neutral zone
Kozak 51.3%
Result
Tyson Kozak favored at 54.4%
45.6%
54.4%
Ek
Kozak
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Ek
Kozak
Last 5: Ek 3-2 Kozak
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Ek
1
0
Ek
Kozak
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Ek
Kozak
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Ek
Kozak
Edge
Even Strength
47.2% (815)
49.3% (294)
-2.1%
Power Play
53.8% (266)
60.0% (5)
-6.2%
Penalty Kill
47.8% (180)
50.0% (40)
-2.2%
On power play, Kozak has a +6.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kozak shoots left. Ek is 45.9% vs left-shot opponents (860).
Ek shoots left. Kozak is 47.7% vs left-shot opponents (239).
Home / Away
Ek
Kozak
Home
49.9% (693)
45.5% (145)
Away
47.2% (568)
52.6% (194)
By Period
Ek
Kozak
P1
46.2%
53.4%
P2
52.6%
50.0%
P3
46.5%
44.3%
Final 5 min
44.2%
44.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Ek
52.0%▲
46.0%
48.7%
Kozak
50.0%▬
49.0%
49.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 29, 2025 | 3 | 15:21 | Neutral | Joel Eriksson Ek |
| Nov 29, 2025 | 3 | 06:24 | Defensive | Joel Eriksson Ek |
| Nov 29, 2025 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Tyson Kozak |
| Nov 29, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Tyson Kozak |
| Nov 29, 2025 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Joel Eriksson Ek |