Scouting Report
Mika Zibanejad holds a +15.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Zibanejad on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Farabee wins 35.0% vs right-shot opponents — Zibanejad shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Farabee 37.8% vs Zibanejad 49.9% (-15.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Farabee 90.7%
Defensive zone
Farabee 55.5%
Neutral zone
Farabee 83.0%
Result
Joel Farabee favored at 76.3%
76.3%
23.7%
Farabee
Zibanejad
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
6
(7 meetings)
1
6
Farabee
Zibanejad
Last 7: Farabee 1-6 Zibanejad
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Farabee
1
0
Farabee
Zibanejad
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Zibanejad
0
2
Farabee
Zibanejad
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Zibanejad
0
4
Farabee
Zibanejad
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Farabee
Zibanejad
Edge
Even Strength
32.8% (311)
50.9% (11,719)
-18.1%
Power Play
46.4% (56)
52.2% (1,849)
-5.8%
Penalty Kill
32.0% (25)
41.5% (1,790)
-9.5%
On even strength, Zibanejad has a +18.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zibanejad shoots right. Farabee is 35.0% vs right-shot opponents (163).
Farabee shoots left. Zibanejad is 50.1% vs left-shot opponents (10,678).
Home / Away
Farabee
Zibanejad
Home
33.7% (178)
51.6% (7,566)
Away
35.5% (214)
48.3% (7,793)
By Period
Farabee
Zibanejad
P1
39.9%
50.4%
P2
32.8%
49.7%
P3
28.7%
49.8%
OT
0.0%
48.7%
Final 5 min
35.9%
48.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Farabee
44.0%▲
38.5%
34.7%
Zibanejad
50.0%▼
51.5%
49.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 26, 2024 | 1 | 17:42 | Defensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Apr 13, 2022 | 3 | 19:06 | Neutral | Mika Zibanejad |
| Apr 3, 2022 | OT | 03:24 | Defensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Apr 3, 2022 | 3 | 14:58 | Neutral | Mika Zibanejad |
| Apr 3, 2022 | 3 | 11:23 | Neutral | Mika Zibanejad |
| Apr 3, 2022 | 3 | 00:44 | Neutral | Mika Zibanejad |
| Apr 3, 2022 | 2 | 18:56 | Offensive | Joel Farabee |