Scouting Report
Mikhail Vorobyev holds a +8.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Vorobyev on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Kellman wins 45.1% vs left-shot opponents — Vorobyev shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kellman 47.9% vs Vorobyev 53.3% (-8.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kellman 80.7%
Defensive zone
Kellman 86.2%
Neutral zone
Kellman 81.6%
Result
Joel Kellman favored at 82.1%
82.1%
17.9%
Kellman
Vorobyev
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
6
(6 meetings)
0
6
Kellman
Vorobyev
Last 6: Kellman 0-6 Vorobyev
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Vorobyev
0
2
Kellman
Vorobyev
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Vorobyev
0
1
Kellman
Vorobyev
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Vorobyev
0
3
Kellman
Vorobyev
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kellman
Vorobyev
Edge
Even Strength
46.6% (223)
56.5% (131)
-9.9%
Penalty Kill
37.5% (8)
44.4% (9)
-6.9%
On even strength, Vorobyev has a +9.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Vorobyev shoots left. Kellman is 45.1% vs left-shot opponents (173).
Kellman shoots left. Vorobyev is 54.3% vs left-shot opponents (94).
Home / Away
Kellman
Vorobyev
Home
42.9% (126)
56.0% (50)
Away
51.8% (112)
55.6% (90)
By Period
Kellman
Vorobyev
P1
48.8%
51.0%
P2
53.4%
56.8%
P3
40.0%
60.0%
Final 5 min
46.4%
55.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kellman
50.0%▬
50.5%
47.1%
Vorobyev
62.0%▲
50.0%
55.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 28, 2019 | 3 | 09:06 | Defensive | Mikhail Vorobyev |
| Dec 28, 2019 | 3 | 05:06 | Offensive | Mikhail Vorobyev |
| Dec 28, 2019 | 3 | 01:36 | Neutral | Mikhail Vorobyev |
| Dec 28, 2019 | 2 | 02:39 | Neutral | Mikhail Vorobyev |
| Dec 28, 2019 | 1 | 09:15 | Neutral | Mikhail Vorobyev |
| Dec 28, 2019 | 1 | 02:13 | Offensive | Mikhail Vorobyev |