Scouting Report
Nico Hischier holds a +4.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Kellman on neutral-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings). Kellman wins 45.1% vs left-shot opponents — Hischier shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kellman 47.9% vs Hischier 51.6% (-4.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hischier 72.9%
Defensive zone
Kellman 51.4%
Neutral zone
Hischier 57.4%
Result
Nico Hischier favored at 61.9%
38.1%
61.9%
Kellman
Hischier
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
3
(7 meetings)
4
3
Kellman
Hischier
Last 7: Kellman 4-3 Hischier
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Kellman
Hischier
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kellman
3
2
Kellman
Hischier
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kellman
Hischier
Edge
Even Strength
46.6% (223)
50.1% (789)
-3.5%
Power Play
71.4% (7)
58.9% (151)
+12.5%
Penalty Kill
37.5% (8)
57.5% (40)
-20.0%
On penalty kill, Hischier has a +20.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hischier shoots left. Kellman is 45.1% vs left-shot opponents (173).
Kellman shoots left. Hischier is 48.3% vs left-shot opponents (598).
Home / Away
Kellman
Hischier
Home
42.9% (126)
53.7% (445)
Away
51.8% (112)
50.1% (535)
By Period
Kellman
Hischier
P1
48.8%
52.6%
P2
53.4%
49.8%
P3
40.0%
52.8%
Final 5 min
46.4%
48.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kellman
50.0%▬
50.5%
47.1%
Hischier
50.0%▼
56.0%
51.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 27, 2020 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nico Hischier |
| Feb 27, 2020 | 2 | 08:16 | Neutral | Joel Kellman |
| Feb 27, 2020 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Joel Kellman |
| Feb 20, 2020 | 3 | 12:14 | Neutral | Nico Hischier |
| Feb 20, 2020 | 3 | 04:56 | Neutral | Joel Kellman |
| Feb 20, 2020 | 2 | 03:55 | Offensive | Joel Kellman |
| Feb 20, 2020 | 1 | 05:49 | Offensive | Nico Hischier |