Scouting Report
Joel Kellman holds a +3.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Kellman on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Kellman wins 45.1% vs left-shot opponents — Zacha shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kellman 47.9% vs Zacha 44.2% (+3.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kellman 65.1%
Defensive zone
Kellman 68.3%
Neutral zone
Kellman 69.2%
Result
Joel Kellman favored at 67.1%
67.1%
32.9%
Kellman
Zacha
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
2
(7 meetings)
5
2
Kellman
Zacha
Last 7: Kellman 5-2 Zacha
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kellman
2
1
Kellman
Zacha
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kellman
2
1
Kellman
Zacha
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kellman
1
0
Kellman
Zacha
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kellman
Zacha
Edge
Even Strength
46.6% (223)
42.8% (514)
+3.8%
Power Play
71.4% (7)
51.9% (79)
+19.5%
Penalty Kill
37.5% (8)
36.1% (61)
+1.4%
On power play, Kellman has a +19.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zacha shoots left. Kellman is 45.1% vs left-shot opponents (173).
Kellman shoots left. Zacha is 40.6% vs left-shot opponents (387).
Home / Away
Kellman
Zacha
Home
42.9% (126)
45.0% (289)
Away
51.8% (112)
41.9% (365)
By Period
Kellman
Zacha
P1
48.8%
47.4%
P2
53.4%
43.8%
P3
40.0%
37.7%
Final 5 min
46.4%
39.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kellman
50.0%▬
50.5%
47.1%
Zacha
46.0%▼
50.5%
43.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 27, 2020 | 3 | 13:18 | Offensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Feb 27, 2020 | 3 | 09:23 | Offensive | Joel Kellman |
| Feb 27, 2020 | 2 | 16:32 | Defensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Feb 20, 2020 | 3 | 07:32 | Offensive | Joel Kellman |
| Feb 20, 2020 | 2 | 15:38 | Defensive | Joel Kellman |
| Feb 20, 2020 | 2 | 15:17 | Neutral | Joel Kellman |
| Feb 20, 2020 | 1 | 01:35 | Defensive | Joel Kellman |