Scouting Report
Joel Kellman holds a +1.0% FO% edge overall. Kellman wins 45.3% vs left-shot opponents — Matthias shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kellman 48.1% vs Matthias 46.6% (+1.0%)
Offensive zone
Matthias 55.2%
Defensive zone
Kellman 51.9%
Neutral zone
Matthias 52.6%
Result
Shawn Matthias favored at 52.0%
48.0%
52.0%
Kellman
Matthias
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kellman
Matthias
Edge
Even Strength
46.5% (275)
46.4% (1,716)
+0.1%
Power Play
75.0% (8)
56.3% (103)
+18.7%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (10)
41.7% (175)
+8.3%
On power play, Kellman has a +18.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Matthias shoots left. Kellman is 45.3% vs left-shot opponents (212).
Kellman shoots left. Matthias is 46.2% vs left-shot opponents (1,275).
Home / Away
Kellman
Matthias
Home
42.5% (146)
46.9% (933)
Away
52.4% (147)
45.9% (1,069)
By Period
Kellman
Matthias
P1
48.0%
47.8%
P2
53.3%
49.4%
P3
41.9%
41.6%
Final 5 min
53.0%
44.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kellman
50.0%▬
50.5%
47.4%
Matthias
40.0%▼
41.5%
46.4%