Scouting Report
Alexander Steen holds a +3.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Ward on neutral-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Steen wins 45.3% vs right-shot opponents — Ward shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Steen 50.3% vs Ward 48.5% (+3.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Ward 66.4%
Defensive zone
Steen 54.8%
Neutral zone
Ward 63.2%
Result
Joel Ward favored at 63.8%
36.2%
63.8%
Steen
Ward
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
5
(6 meetings)
1
5
Steen
Ward
Last 6: Steen 1-5 Ward
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Ward
0
1
Steen
Ward
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Ward
1
4
Steen
Ward
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Steen
Ward
Edge
Even Strength
48.3% (317)
47.5% (59)
+0.8%
Power Play
66.7% (6)
52.3% (44)
+14.4%
Penalty Kill
55.5% (110)
37.5% (24)
+18.0%
On penalty kill, Steen has a +18.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Ward shoots right. Steen is 45.3% vs right-shot opponents (203).
Steen shoots left. Ward is 46.9% vs left-shot opponents (98).
Home / Away
Steen
Ward
Home
47.2% (176)
44.9% (69)
Away
52.5% (257)
50.0% (58)
By Period
Steen
Ward
P1
50.0%
45.7%
P2
50.0%
39.5%
P3
52.1%
56.3%
OT
33.3%
0.0%
Final 5 min
50.0%
50.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Steen
50.0%▲
46.0%
50.3%
Ward
44.0%▼
47.0%
47.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 1, 2015 | 3 | 16:01 | Neutral | Joel Ward |
| Feb 1, 2015 | 3 | 14:46 | Neutral | Joel Ward |
| Feb 1, 2015 | 3 | 12:28 | Neutral | Joel Ward |
| Feb 1, 2015 | 3 | 08:52 | Neutral | Joel Ward |
| Feb 1, 2015 | 3 | 07:08 | Offensive | Joel Ward |
| Feb 1, 2015 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Alexander Steen |