Scouting Report
Antoine Vermette holds a +13.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Ward on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Vermette wins 60.0% vs right-shot opponents — Ward shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Vermette 59.1% vs Ward 47.4% (+13.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Ward 61.0%
Defensive zone
Ward 51.9%
Neutral zone
Ward 61.8%
Result
Joel Ward favored at 55.5%
44.5%
55.5%
Vermette
Ward
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Vermette
Ward
Last 5: Vermette 2-3 Ward
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Vermette
2
0
Vermette
Ward
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Ward
0
3
Vermette
Ward
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Vermette
Ward
Edge
Even Strength
60.5% (767)
49.2% (181)
+11.3%
Power Play
61.9% (84)
50.0% (4)
+11.9%
Penalty Kill
56.7% (164)
34.8% (46)
+21.9%
On penalty kill, Vermette has a +21.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Ward shoots right. Vermette is 60.0% vs right-shot opponents (400).
Vermette shoots left. Ward is 49.0% vs left-shot opponents (157).
Home / Away
Vermette
Ward
Home
63.0% (481)
40.7% (86)
Away
57.3% (534)
49.7% (145)
By Period
Vermette
Ward
P1
61.6%
55.7%
P2
60.4%
43.0%
P3
58.9%
42.9%
Final 5 min
63.1%
43.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Vermette
58.0%▼
62.0%
60.0%
Ward
44.0%▼
47.0%
46.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 21, 2018 | 3 | 19:04 | Offensive | Antoine Vermette |
| Nov 20, 2017 | 2 | 07:11 | Offensive | Antoine Vermette |
| Nov 4, 2017 | 3 | 11:36 | Defensive | Joel Ward |
| Nov 4, 2017 | 3 | 09:56 | Defensive | Joel Ward |
| Nov 4, 2017 | 2 | 08:31 | Defensive | Joel Ward |