Scouting Report
Joel Ward holds a +1.6% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Jones 47.3% vs Ward 48.4% (-1.6%)
Offensive zone
Ward 50.8%
Defensive zone
Ward 54.6%
Neutral zone
Jones 50.7%
Result
Joel Ward favored at 51.6%
48.4%
51.6%
Jones
Ward
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Jones
Ward
Edge
Even Strength
48.6% (494)
51.3% (1,186)
-2.7%
Power Play
50.0% (26)
53.4% (238)
-3.4%
Penalty Kill
32.3% (62)
35.5% (366)
-3.2%
On power play, Ward has a +3.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Ward shoots right. Jones is 51.2% vs right-shot opponents (168).
Jones shoots right. Ward is 47.6% vs right-shot opponents (471).
Home / Away
Jones
Ward
Home
48.9% (272)
50.3% (870)
Away
45.0% (311)
46.5% (921)
By Period
Jones
Ward
P1
47.1%
47.6%
P2
49.7%
47.5%
P3
44.8%
50.3%
OT
25.0%
30.8%
Final 5 min
43.7%
45.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Jones
42.0%▼
50.5%
46.8%
Ward
44.0%▼
47.0%
48.4%