Scouting Report
Bryan Little holds a +2.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Little on offensive-zone draws (83% H2H, 12 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Little 50.6% vs Ward 48.4% (+2.3%)
H2H factor
Little leads 16-8 in 24 meetings
Offensive zone
Little 81.6%
Defensive zone
Little 56.6%
Neutral zone
Little 67.1%
Result
Bryan Little favored at 70.4%
70.4%
29.6%
Little
Ward
Head-to-Head Record
16
-
8
(24 meetings)
16
8
Little
Ward
Last 10: Little 6-4 Ward
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Little
10
2
Little
Ward
12 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Ward
3
6
Little
Ward
9 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Little
3
0
Little
Ward
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Little
Ward
Edge
Even Strength
50.9% (8,646)
51.3% (1,186)
-0.4%
Power Play
55.5% (1,593)
53.4% (238)
+2.1%
Penalty Kill
43.5% (1,406)
35.5% (366)
+8.0%
On penalty kill, Little has a +8.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Ward shoots right. Little is 51.1% vs right-shot opponents (3,837).
Little shoots right. Ward is 47.6% vs right-shot opponents (471).
Home / Away
Little
Ward
Home
52.9% (5,664)
50.3% (870)
Away
48.6% (6,017)
46.5% (921)
By Period
Little
Ward
P1
50.9%
47.6%
P2
49.6%
47.5%
P3
51.5%
50.3%
OT
49.1%
30.8%
Final 5 min
51.1%
45.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Little
46.0%▬
47.0%
50.7%
Ward
44.0%▼
47.0%
48.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 23, 2018 | 3 | 16:27 | Defensive | Joel Ward |
| Jan 23, 2018 | 2 | 06:47 | Offensive | Bryan Little |
| Jan 7, 2018 | 3 | 17:55 | Defensive | Bryan Little |
| Jan 7, 2018 | 2 | 18:37 | Offensive | Bryan Little |
| Jan 7, 2018 | 1 | 13:03 | Offensive | Bryan Little |
| Mar 6, 2017 | 1 | 10:16 | Offensive | Bryan Little |
| Jan 24, 2017 | 1 | 10:01 | Neutral | Bryan Little |
| Jan 16, 2017 | 1 | 13:24 | Defensive | Joel Ward |
| Jan 16, 2017 | 1 | 11:39 | Defensive | Joel Ward |
| Jan 12, 2016 | 1 | 17:46 | Defensive | Joel Ward |
| Jan 12, 2016 | 1 | 06:50 | Defensive | Joel Ward |
| Jan 12, 2016 | 1 | 06:40 | Offensive | Bryan Little |
| Jan 2, 2016 | 2 | 15:58 | Defensive | Joel Ward |
| Jan 2, 2016 | 2 | 14:29 | Offensive | Bryan Little |
| Jan 2, 2016 | 2 | 13:05 | Offensive | Joel Ward |
| Jan 2, 2016 | 2 | 00:39 | Offensive | Bryan Little |
| Jan 2, 2016 | 1 | 00:53 | Defensive | Bryan Little |
| Feb 19, 2015 | 1 | 13:42 | Defensive | Bryan Little |
| Feb 6, 2014 | 2 | 09:06 | Offensive | Joel Ward |
| Feb 6, 2014 | 1 | 19:32 | Neutral | Bryan Little |