Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (48.1% vs 48.4%). Jarnkrok wins 45.4% vs right-shot opponents — Ward shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Jarnkrok 48.1% vs Ward 48.4% (-0.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Jarnkrok 55.1%
Defensive zone
Ward 57.0%
Neutral zone
Jarnkrok 51.0%
Result
Calle Jarnkrok favored at 55.1%
55.1%
44.9%
Jarnkrok
Ward
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Jarnkrok
Ward
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Jarnkrok
Ward
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Jarnkrok
Ward
Edge
Even Strength
49.3% (3,352)
51.3% (1,186)
-2.0%
Power Play
51.9% (258)
53.4% (238)
-1.5%
Penalty Kill
40.2% (625)
35.5% (366)
+4.7%
On penalty kill, Jarnkrok has a +4.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Ward shoots right. Jarnkrok is 45.4% vs right-shot opponents (1,270).
Jarnkrok shoots right. Ward is 47.6% vs right-shot opponents (471).
Home / Away
Jarnkrok
Ward
Home
50.6% (2,253)
50.3% (870)
Away
45.3% (1,982)
46.5% (921)
By Period
Jarnkrok
Ward
P1
47.8%
47.6%
P2
48.0%
47.5%
P3
48.8%
50.3%
OT
40.5%
30.8%
Final 5 min
48.8%
45.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Jarnkrok
52.0%▲
48.5%
48.1%
Ward
44.0%▼
47.0%
48.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 25, 2017 | 2 | 00:07 | Offensive | Calle Jarnkrok |
| Mar 28, 2015 | 1 | 06:37 | Offensive | Joel Ward |