Scouting Report
Claude Giroux holds a +7.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Giroux on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Giroux wins 53.1% vs right-shot opponents — Ward shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Giroux 52.7% vs Ward 46.8% (+7.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Giroux 91.7%
Defensive zone
Giroux 75.1%
Neutral zone
Giroux 75.1%
Result
Claude Giroux favored at 85.0%
85.0%
15.0%
Giroux
Ward
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Giroux
Ward
Last 5: Giroux 4-1 Ward
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Giroux
3
0
Giroux
Ward
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Ward
0
1
Giroux
Ward
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Giroux
1
0
Giroux
Ward
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Giroux
Ward
Edge
Even Strength
52.3% (1,257)
55.0% (80)
-2.7%
Power Play
54.9% (377)
43.9% (57)
+11.0%
Penalty Kill
52.4% (126)
33.9% (62)
+18.5%
On penalty kill, Giroux has a +18.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Ward shoots right. Giroux is 53.1% vs right-shot opponents (605).
Giroux shoots right. Ward is 28.1% vs right-shot opponents (32).
Home / Away
Giroux
Ward
Home
56.0% (868)
50.9% (114)
Away
49.9% (892)
37.6% (85)
By Period
Giroux
Ward
P1
53.4%
42.6%
P2
54.0%
38.5%
P3
52.0%
54.8%
OT
41.4%
28.6%
Final 5 min
52.6%
41.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Giroux
66.0%▲
58.5%
52.9%
Ward
44.0%▼
47.0%
45.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 5, 2014 | 3 | 02:18 | Offensive | Claude Giroux |
| Mar 5, 2014 | 2 | 16:54 | Offensive | Claude Giroux |
| Dec 17, 2013 | 2 | 17:04 | Neutral | Claude Giroux |
| Dec 17, 2013 | 2 | 15:22 | Defensive | Joel Ward |
| Dec 15, 2013 | 2 | 02:45 | Offensive | Claude Giroux |