Scouting Report
Joel Ward holds a +2.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Sedin on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Sedin 46.3% vs Ward 48.4% (-2.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Sedin 73.6%
Defensive zone
Ward 75.5%
Neutral zone
Ward 64.9%
Result
Henrik Sedin favored at 53.9%
53.9%
46.1%
Sedin
Ward
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Sedin
Ward
Last 5: Sedin 4-1 Ward
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Sedin
3
0
Sedin
Ward
3 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Sedin
Ward
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Sedin
Ward
Edge
Even Strength
45.0% (1,034)
49.3% (353)
-4.3%
Power Play
52.6% (251)
69.0% (42)
-16.4%
Penalty Kill
37.1% (62)
34.7% (98)
+2.4%
On power play, Ward has a +16.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Ward shoots right. Sedin is 51.0% vs right-shot opponents (467).
Sedin shoots left. Ward is 46.7% vs left-shot opponents (338).
Home / Away
Sedin
Ward
Home
47.0% (725)
48.4% (219)
Away
44.9% (622)
47.8% (274)
By Period
Sedin
Ward
P1
45.6%
43.0%
P2
49.3%
51.4%
P3
43.2%
50.0%
OT
45.0%
33.3%
Final 5 min
47.3%
41.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Sedin
50.0%▲
47.0%
46.0%
Ward
44.0%▼
47.0%
48.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 5, 2016 | 1 | 04:20 | Offensive | Henrik Sedin |
| Feb 28, 2016 | 3 | 17:06 | Offensive | Henrik Sedin |
| Feb 28, 2016 | 2 | 09:31 | Defensive | Joel Ward |
| Feb 28, 2016 | 2 | 04:28 | Defensive | Henrik Sedin |
| Feb 28, 2016 | 2 | 00:17 | Offensive | Henrik Sedin |