Scouting Report
Leon Draisaitl holds a +4.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Draisaitl on offensive-zone draws (71% H2H, 7 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Ward 48.4% vs Draisaitl 53.3% (-4.9%)
H2H factor
Ward leads 8-6 in 14 meetings
Offensive zone
Draisaitl 89.4%
Defensive zone
Draisaitl 51.4%
Neutral zone
Draisaitl 66.2%
Result
Leon Draisaitl favored at 72.5%
27.5%
72.5%
Ward
Draisaitl
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
6
(14 meetings)
8
6
Ward
Draisaitl
Last 10: Ward 5-5 Draisaitl
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Draisaitl
2
5
Ward
Draisaitl
7 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Ward
4
1
Ward
Draisaitl
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Ward
2
0
Ward
Draisaitl
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Ward
Draisaitl
Edge
Even Strength
51.3% (1,186)
52.9% (10,240)
-1.6%
Power Play
53.4% (238)
55.7% (2,827)
-2.3%
Penalty Kill
35.5% (366)
51.2% (977)
-15.7%
On penalty kill, Draisaitl has a +15.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Draisaitl shoots left. Ward is 48.6% vs left-shot opponents (1,320).
Ward shoots right. Draisaitl is 56.4% vs right-shot opponents (5,098).
Home / Away
Ward
Draisaitl
Home
50.3% (870)
54.6% (7,049)
Away
46.5% (921)
52.0% (6,995)
By Period
Ward
Draisaitl
P1
47.6%
52.7%
P2
47.5%
53.6%
P3
50.3%
53.4%
OT
30.8%
57.0%
Final 5 min
45.4%
52.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Ward
44.0%▼
47.0%
48.4%
Draisaitl
62.0%▬
61.0%
53.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 18, 2017 | 1 | 02:57 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Mar 30, 2017 | 1 | 15:53 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Jan 26, 2017 | 3 | 06:17 | Defensive | Joel Ward |
| Jan 10, 2017 | 1 | 18:43 | Neutral | Joel Ward |
| Jan 10, 2017 | 1 | 06:57 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Dec 23, 2016 | 2 | 16:16 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Dec 23, 2016 | 1 | 12:16 | Defensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Mar 24, 2016 | 2 | 07:50 | Offensive | Joel Ward |
| Mar 8, 2016 | 3 | 14:23 | Offensive | Joel Ward |
| Mar 8, 2016 | 3 | 08:32 | Defensive | Joel Ward |
| Mar 8, 2016 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Joel Ward |
| Jan 14, 2016 | 2 | 00:31 | Defensive | Joel Ward |
| Dec 9, 2015 | 3 | 13:14 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Dec 9, 2015 | 1 | 10:11 | Defensive | Joel Ward |