Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (48.1% vs 48.4%). Look for Ward on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Ward wins 46.7% vs left-shot opponents — Draisaitl shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Ward 48.4% vs Draisaitl 48.5% (-0.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Draisaitl 82.5%
Defensive zone
Ward 57.6%
Neutral zone
Draisaitl 67.7%
Result
Leon Draisaitl favored at 63.2%
36.8%
63.2%
Ward
Draisaitl
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
1
(7 meetings)
6
1
Ward
Draisaitl
Last 7: Ward 6-1 Draisaitl
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Ward
2
1
Ward
Draisaitl
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Ward
3
0
Ward
Draisaitl
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Ward
1
0
Ward
Draisaitl
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Ward
Draisaitl
Edge
Even Strength
49.3% (353)
48.9% (894)
+0.4%
Power Play
69.0% (42)
44.8% (134)
+24.2%
Penalty Kill
34.7% (98)
50.0% (10)
-15.3%
On power play, Ward has a +24.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Draisaitl shoots left. Ward is 46.7% vs left-shot opponents (338).
Ward shoots right. Draisaitl is 49.9% vs right-shot opponents (345).
Home / Away
Ward
Draisaitl
Home
48.4% (219)
52.5% (516)
Away
47.8% (274)
44.3% (522)
By Period
Ward
Draisaitl
P1
43.0%
48.2%
P2
51.4%
48.2%
P3
50.0%
48.8%
OT
33.3%
45.0%
Final 5 min
41.8%
48.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Ward
44.0%▼
47.0%
48.1%
Draisaitl
62.0%▬
61.0%
48.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 24, 2016 | 2 | 07:50 | Offensive | Joel Ward |
| Mar 8, 2016 | 3 | 14:23 | Offensive | Joel Ward |
| Mar 8, 2016 | 3 | 08:32 | Defensive | Joel Ward |
| Mar 8, 2016 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Joel Ward |
| Jan 14, 2016 | 2 | 00:31 | Defensive | Joel Ward |
| Dec 9, 2015 | 3 | 13:14 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Dec 9, 2015 | 1 | 10:11 | Defensive | Joel Ward |