Scouting Report
Mark Jankowski holds a +2.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Ward on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Ward 48.4% vs Jankowski 50.4% (-2.0%)
H2H factor
Ward leads 6-4 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Jankowski 63.1%
Defensive zone
Jankowski 63.8%
Neutral zone
Jankowski 61.1%
Result
Mark Jankowski favored at 62.4%
37.6%
62.4%
Ward
Jankowski
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
4
(10 meetings)
6
4
Ward
Jankowski
Last 10: Ward 6-4 Jankowski
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Jankowski
0
1
Ward
Jankowski
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Ward
3
1
Ward
Jankowski
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Ward
3
2
Ward
Jankowski
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Ward
Jankowski
Edge
Even Strength
51.3% (1,186)
51.5% (3,462)
-0.2%
Power Play
53.4% (238)
53.7% (95)
-0.3%
Penalty Kill
35.5% (366)
42.8% (528)
-7.3%
On penalty kill, Jankowski has a +7.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Jankowski shoots left. Ward is 48.6% vs left-shot opponents (1,320).
Ward shoots right. Jankowski is 47.3% vs right-shot opponents (1,550).
Home / Away
Ward
Jankowski
Home
50.3% (870)
51.9% (1,940)
Away
46.5% (921)
49.1% (2,145)
By Period
Ward
Jankowski
P1
47.6%
50.0%
P2
47.5%
51.2%
P3
50.3%
50.2%
OT
30.8%
20.0%
Final 5 min
45.4%
52.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Ward
44.0%▼
47.0%
48.4%
Jankowski
58.0%▲
52.0%
50.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 28, 2017 | 1 | 15:45 | Neutral | Mark Jankowski |
| Dec 28, 2017 | 1 | 07:35 | Neutral | Joel Ward |
| Dec 28, 2017 | 1 | 07:16 | Neutral | Joel Ward |
| Dec 28, 2017 | 1 | 04:22 | Neutral | Joel Ward |
| Dec 14, 2017 | 3 | 09:46 | Defensive | Mark Jankowski |
| Dec 14, 2017 | 3 | 06:57 | Offensive | Mark Jankowski |
| Dec 14, 2017 | 3 | 01:42 | Defensive | Joel Ward |
| Dec 14, 2017 | 2 | 19:36 | Defensive | Joel Ward |
| Dec 14, 2017 | 2 | 16:29 | Defensive | Joel Ward |
| Dec 14, 2017 | 2 | 10:18 | Neutral | Mark Jankowski |