Scouting Report
Mark Jankowski holds a +2.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Ward on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Ward 47.4% vs Jankowski 48.9% (-2.5%)
H2H factor
Ward leads 6-4 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Jankowski 75.7%
Defensive zone
Jankowski 54.8%
Neutral zone
Jankowski 68.0%
Result
Mark Jankowski favored at 63.5%
36.5%
63.5%
Ward
Jankowski
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
4
(10 meetings)
6
4
Ward
Jankowski
Last 10: Ward 6-4 Jankowski
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Jankowski
0
1
Ward
Jankowski
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Ward
3
1
Ward
Jankowski
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Ward
3
2
Ward
Jankowski
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Ward
Jankowski
Edge
Even Strength
49.2% (181)
49.5% (746)
-0.3%
Power Play
50.0% (4)
53.1% (32)
-3.1%
Penalty Kill
34.8% (46)
28.1% (32)
+6.7%
On penalty kill, Ward has a +6.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Jankowski shoots left. Ward is 49.0% vs left-shot opponents (157).
Ward shoots right. Jankowski is 44.6% vs right-shot opponents (296).
Home / Away
Ward
Jankowski
Home
40.7% (86)
50.4% (399)
Away
49.7% (145)
47.2% (411)
By Period
Ward
Jankowski
P1
55.7%
49.4%
P2
43.0%
48.7%
P3
42.9%
48.7%
Final 5 min
43.1%
52.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Ward
44.0%▼
47.0%
46.3%
Jankowski
58.0%▲
52.0%
48.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 28, 2017 | 1 | 15:45 | Neutral | Mark Jankowski |
| Dec 28, 2017 | 1 | 07:35 | Neutral | Joel Ward |
| Dec 28, 2017 | 1 | 07:16 | Neutral | Joel Ward |
| Dec 28, 2017 | 1 | 04:22 | Neutral | Joel Ward |
| Dec 14, 2017 | 3 | 09:46 | Defensive | Mark Jankowski |
| Dec 14, 2017 | 3 | 06:57 | Offensive | Mark Jankowski |
| Dec 14, 2017 | 3 | 01:42 | Defensive | Joel Ward |
| Dec 14, 2017 | 2 | 19:36 | Defensive | Joel Ward |
| Dec 14, 2017 | 2 | 16:29 | Defensive | Joel Ward |
| Dec 14, 2017 | 2 | 10:18 | Neutral | Mark Jankowski |