Scouting Report
Joel Ward holds a +1.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Ward on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Ward 48.4% vs Scheifele 46.8% (+1.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Scheifele 62.3%
Defensive zone
Ward 68.8%
Neutral zone
Scheifele 52.2%
Result
Mark Scheifele favored at 52.0%
48.0%
52.0%
Ward
Scheifele
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
1
(8 meetings)
7
1
Ward
Scheifele
Last 8: Ward 7-1 Scheifele
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Ward
4
0
Ward
Scheifele
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Ward
2
0
Ward
Scheifele
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Ward
Scheifele
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Ward
Scheifele
Edge
Even Strength
51.3% (1,186)
46.3% (12,036)
+5.0%
Power Play
53.4% (238)
50.2% (2,563)
+3.2%
Penalty Kill
35.5% (366)
41.6% (598)
-6.1%
On penalty kill, Scheifele has a +6.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Scheifele shoots right. Ward is 47.6% vs right-shot opponents (471).
Ward shoots right. Scheifele is 44.9% vs right-shot opponents (4,377).
Home / Away
Ward
Scheifele
Home
50.3% (870)
48.9% (7,644)
Away
46.5% (921)
44.7% (7,554)
By Period
Ward
Scheifele
P1
47.6%
48.2%
P2
47.5%
45.6%
P3
50.3%
46.8%
OT
30.8%
42.5%
Final 5 min
45.4%
45.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Ward
44.0%▼
47.0%
48.4%
Scheifele
50.0%▬
51.0%
46.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 6, 2017 | 3 | 06:48 | Defensive | Joel Ward |
| Mar 6, 2017 | 3 | 01:22 | Offensive | Joel Ward |
| Jan 24, 2017 | 3 | 19:58 | Neutral | Mark Scheifele |
| Jan 24, 2017 | 3 | 08:09 | Defensive | Joel Ward |
| Jan 16, 2017 | 3 | 11:33 | Offensive | Joel Ward |
| Jan 16, 2017 | 3 | 06:46 | Neutral | Joel Ward |
| Jan 16, 2017 | 2 | 17:03 | Offensive | Joel Ward |
| Feb 6, 2014 | 1 | 16:15 | Offensive | Joel Ward |