Scouting Report
Joel Ward holds a +5.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Ward on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Ward 49.1% vs Scheifele 43.9% (+5.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Ward 61.8%
Defensive zone
Ward 85.6%
Neutral zone
Ward 76.6%
Result
Joel Ward favored at 72.9%
72.9%
27.1%
Ward
Scheifele
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
1
(7 meetings)
6
1
Ward
Scheifele
Last 7: Ward 6-1 Scheifele
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Ward
3
0
Ward
Scheifele
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Ward
2
0
Ward
Scheifele
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Ward
Scheifele
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Ward
Scheifele
Edge
Even Strength
52.8% (339)
43.9% (1,136)
+8.9%
Power Play
48.5% (33)
43.0% (237)
+5.5%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (84)
38.6% (88)
-5.3%
On even strength, Ward has a +8.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Scheifele shoots right. Ward is 48.5% vs right-shot opponents (103).
Ward shoots right. Scheifele is 43.4% vs right-shot opponents (426).
Home / Away
Ward
Scheifele
Home
53.4% (251)
45.3% (739)
Away
43.4% (205)
41.6% (722)
By Period
Ward
Scheifele
P1
49.4%
45.6%
P2
46.9%
42.6%
P3
50.3%
42.8%
Final 5 min
47.1%
39.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Ward
44.0%▼
47.0%
48.9%
Scheifele
50.0%▬
51.0%
43.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 6, 2017 | 3 | 06:48 | Defensive | Joel Ward |
| Mar 6, 2017 | 3 | 01:22 | Offensive | Joel Ward |
| Jan 24, 2017 | 3 | 19:58 | Neutral | Mark Scheifele |
| Jan 24, 2017 | 3 | 08:09 | Defensive | Joel Ward |
| Jan 16, 2017 | 3 | 11:33 | Offensive | Joel Ward |
| Jan 16, 2017 | 3 | 06:46 | Neutral | Joel Ward |
| Jan 16, 2017 | 2 | 17:03 | Offensive | Joel Ward |