Scouting Report
Joel Ward holds a +7.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Ward on defensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Ward 48.4% vs Granlund 41.4% (+7.5%)
H2H factor
Ward leads 7-5 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
Ward 52.0%
Defensive zone
Ward 75.3%
Neutral zone
Ward 71.8%
Result
Joel Ward favored at 61.7%
61.7%
38.3%
Ward
Granlund
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
5
(12 meetings)
7
5
Ward
Granlund
Last 10: Ward 6-4 Granlund
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Granlund
3
4
Ward
Granlund
7 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Ward
4
1
Ward
Granlund
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Ward
Granlund
Edge
Even Strength
51.3% (1,186)
41.3% (1,525)
+10.0%
Power Play
53.4% (238)
45.1% (91)
+8.3%
Penalty Kill
35.5% (366)
32.8% (119)
+2.7%
On even strength, Ward has a +10.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Granlund shoots left. Ward is 48.6% vs left-shot opponents (1,320).
Ward shoots right. Granlund is 39.3% vs right-shot opponents (639).
Home / Away
Ward
Granlund
Home
50.3% (870)
43.1% (886)
Away
46.5% (921)
38.6% (849)
By Period
Ward
Granlund
P1
47.6%
42.9%
P2
47.5%
39.1%
P3
50.3%
41.1%
OT
30.8%
26.7%
Final 5 min
45.4%
40.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Ward
44.0%▼
47.0%
48.4%
Granlund
44.0%▼
46.0%
40.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 5, 2016 | 3 | 14:19 | Defensive | Joel Ward |
| Mar 5, 2016 | 2 | 17:37 | Defensive | Markus Granlund |
| Mar 5, 2016 | 1 | 11:56 | Offensive | Joel Ward |
| Mar 3, 2016 | 3 | 04:06 | Offensive | Markus Granlund |
| Mar 3, 2016 | 2 | 17:59 | Offensive | Joel Ward |
| Feb 28, 2016 | 3 | 09:42 | Defensive | Joel Ward |
| Feb 28, 2016 | 3 | 09:37 | Defensive | Joel Ward |
| Feb 11, 2016 | 1 | 11:23 | Offensive | Markus Granlund |
| Dec 8, 2015 | 3 | 04:53 | Offensive | Joel Ward |
| Dec 8, 2015 | 1 | 09:42 | Offensive | Markus Granlund |
| Nov 4, 2014 | 3 | 02:30 | Defensive | Joel Ward |
| Nov 4, 2014 | 1 | 18:03 | Offensive | Markus Granlund |