Scouting Report
Joel Ward holds a +5.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Ward on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Ward wins 46.7% vs left-shot opponents — Granlund shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Ward 48.4% vs Granlund 44.1% (+5.3%)
H2H factor
Ward leads 6-4 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Granlund 52.2%
Defensive zone
Ward 79.0%
Neutral zone
Ward 70.2%
Result
Joel Ward favored at 60.3%
60.3%
39.7%
Ward
Granlund
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
4
(10 meetings)
6
4
Ward
Granlund
Last 10: Ward 6-4 Granlund
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
3
3
Ward
Granlund
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Ward
3
1
Ward
Granlund
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Ward
Granlund
Edge
Even Strength
49.3% (353)
42.6% (441)
+6.7%
Power Play
69.0% (42)
33.3% (12)
+35.7%
Penalty Kill
34.7% (98)
52.6% (19)
-17.9%
On power play, Ward has a +35.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Granlund shoots left. Ward is 46.7% vs left-shot opponents (338).
Ward shoots right. Granlund is 37.5% vs right-shot opponents (168).
Home / Away
Ward
Granlund
Home
48.4% (219)
44.0% (284)
Away
47.8% (274)
41.0% (188)
By Period
Ward
Granlund
P1
43.0%
45.8%
P2
51.4%
39.7%
P3
50.0%
43.2%
OT
33.3%
0.0%
Final 5 min
41.8%
43.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Ward
44.0%▼
47.0%
48.1%
Granlund
44.0%▼
46.0%
42.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 5, 2016 | 3 | 14:19 | Defensive | Joel Ward |
| Mar 5, 2016 | 2 | 17:37 | Defensive | Markus Granlund |
| Mar 5, 2016 | 1 | 11:56 | Offensive | Joel Ward |
| Mar 3, 2016 | 3 | 04:06 | Offensive | Markus Granlund |
| Mar 3, 2016 | 2 | 17:59 | Offensive | Joel Ward |
| Feb 28, 2016 | 3 | 09:42 | Defensive | Joel Ward |
| Feb 28, 2016 | 3 | 09:37 | Defensive | Joel Ward |
| Feb 11, 2016 | 1 | 11:23 | Offensive | Markus Granlund |
| Dec 8, 2015 | 3 | 04:53 | Offensive | Joel Ward |
| Dec 8, 2015 | 1 | 09:42 | Offensive | Markus Granlund |