Scouting Report
Martin Hanzal holds a +5.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Hanzal on defensive-zone draws (56% H2H, 9 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Ward 48.4% vs Hanzal 53.7% (-5.3%)
H2H factor
Hanzal leads 12-9 in 21 meetings
Offensive zone
Ward 67.5%
Defensive zone
Ward 73.1%
Neutral zone
Ward 66.3%
Result
Joel Ward favored at 69.8%
69.8%
30.2%
Ward
Hanzal
Head-to-Head Record
9
-
12
(21 meetings)
9
12
Ward
Hanzal
Last 10: Ward 6-4 Hanzal
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
5
5
Ward
Hanzal
10 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hanzal
4
5
Ward
Hanzal
9 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hanzal
0
2
Ward
Hanzal
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Ward
Hanzal
Edge
Even Strength
51.3% (1,186)
54.0% (5,547)
-2.7%
Power Play
53.4% (238)
56.7% (1,179)
-3.3%
Penalty Kill
35.5% (366)
46.0% (644)
-10.5%
On penalty kill, Hanzal has a +10.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hanzal shoots left. Ward is 48.6% vs left-shot opponents (1,320).
Ward shoots right. Hanzal is 53.9% vs right-shot opponents (2,660).
Home / Away
Ward
Hanzal
Home
50.3% (870)
55.1% (3,687)
Away
46.5% (921)
52.3% (3,704)
By Period
Ward
Hanzal
P1
47.6%
54.9%
P2
47.5%
53.6%
P3
50.3%
52.4%
OT
30.8%
56.5%
Final 5 min
45.4%
51.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Ward
44.0%▼
47.0%
48.4%
Hanzal
58.0%▬
57.0%
53.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 21, 2017 | 2 | 17:57 | Neutral | Martin Hanzal |
| Mar 21, 2017 | 2 | 15:00 | Offensive | Joel Ward |
| Nov 29, 2016 | 3 | 15:30 | Offensive | Joel Ward |
| Nov 19, 2016 | 2 | 14:21 | Defensive | Martin Hanzal |
| Nov 19, 2016 | 1 | 09:15 | Defensive | Martin Hanzal |
| Nov 19, 2016 | 1 | 04:09 | Defensive | Joel Ward |
| Mar 20, 2016 | 2 | 08:55 | Offensive | Martin Hanzal |
| Mar 20, 2016 | 1 | 06:31 | Offensive | Joel Ward |
| Mar 17, 2016 | 3 | 19:49 | Defensive | Joel Ward |
| Mar 17, 2016 | 3 | 19:42 | Defensive | Joel Ward |
| Mar 17, 2016 | 2 | 12:02 | Offensive | Martin Hanzal |
| Feb 13, 2016 | 1 | 01:30 | Offensive | Martin Hanzal |
| Jan 21, 2016 | 1 | 18:49 | Offensive | Martin Hanzal |
| Jan 21, 2016 | 1 | 11:24 | Defensive | Martin Hanzal |
| Nov 9, 2013 | 3 | 15:35 | Defensive | Martin Hanzal |
| Nov 9, 2013 | 2 | 10:57 | Offensive | Martin Hanzal |
| Feb 19, 2011 | 2 | 03:22 | Offensive | Joel Ward |
| Jan 18, 2011 | 2 | 10:08 | Neutral | Martin Hanzal |
| Nov 3, 2010 | 3 | 02:56 | Defensive | Joel Ward |
| Nov 3, 2010 | 2 | 04:51 | Offensive | Joel Ward |