Scouting Report
Mika Zibanejad holds a +1.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Ward on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Ward 48.4% vs Zibanejad 49.9% (-1.5%)
H2H factor
Ward leads 9-8 in 17 meetings
Offensive zone
Zibanejad 58.6%
Defensive zone
Ward 54.6%
Neutral zone
Zibanejad 51.2%
Result
Mika Zibanejad favored at 53.0%
47.0%
53.0%
Ward
Zibanejad
Head-to-Head Record
9
-
8
(17 meetings)
9
8
Ward
Zibanejad
Last 10: Ward 6-4 Zibanejad
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Zibanejad
2
6
Ward
Zibanejad
8 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Ward
5
0
Ward
Zibanejad
5 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Ward
Zibanejad
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Ward
Zibanejad
Edge
Even Strength
51.3% (1,186)
50.9% (11,719)
+0.4%
Power Play
53.4% (238)
52.2% (1,849)
+1.2%
Penalty Kill
35.5% (366)
41.5% (1,790)
-6.0%
On penalty kill, Zibanejad has a +6.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zibanejad shoots right. Ward is 47.6% vs right-shot opponents (471).
Ward shoots right. Zibanejad is 49.5% vs right-shot opponents (4,681).
Home / Away
Ward
Zibanejad
Home
50.3% (870)
51.6% (7,566)
Away
46.5% (921)
48.3% (7,793)
By Period
Ward
Zibanejad
P1
47.6%
50.4%
P2
47.5%
49.7%
P3
50.3%
49.8%
OT
30.8%
48.7%
Final 5 min
45.4%
48.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Ward
44.0%▼
47.0%
48.4%
Zibanejad
50.0%▼
51.5%
49.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 23, 2017 | 3 | 06:57 | Offensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Mar 28, 2017 | 1 | 10:03 | Neutral | Mika Zibanejad |
| Oct 17, 2016 | 1 | 07:26 | Defensive | Joel Ward |
| Jan 18, 2016 | 3 | 11:07 | Defensive | Joel Ward |
| Jan 18, 2016 | 3 | 05:05 | Offensive | Joel Ward |
| Jan 18, 2016 | 2 | 18:33 | Offensive | Joel Ward |
| Dec 18, 2015 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Joel Ward |
| Dec 18, 2015 | 2 | 15:26 | Offensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Dec 18, 2015 | 1 | 14:54 | Defensive | Joel Ward |
| Dec 18, 2015 | 1 | 10:37 | Neutral | Mika Zibanejad |
| Dec 18, 2015 | 1 | 05:06 | Neutral | Joel Ward |
| Dec 22, 2014 | 3 | 14:48 | Defensive | Joel Ward |
| Jan 21, 2014 | 1 | 01:56 | Offensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Dec 30, 2013 | 3 | 01:49 | Offensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Dec 30, 2013 | 2 | 16:48 | Offensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Dec 30, 2013 | 2 | 03:42 | Defensive | Joel Ward |
| Dec 30, 2013 | 1 | 16:51 | Offensive | Mika Zibanejad |