Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (45.2% vs 46.1%). Look for Zibanejad on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Ward wins 28.1% vs right-shot opponents — Zibanejad shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Ward 46.8% vs Zibanejad 46.9% (-0.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Zibanejad 61.1%
Defensive zone
Ward 66.1%
Neutral zone
Ward 54.8%
Result
Mika Zibanejad favored at 55.6%
44.4%
55.6%
Ward
Zibanejad
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Ward
Zibanejad
Last 5: Ward 1-4 Zibanejad
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Zibanejad
0
4
Ward
Zibanejad
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Ward
1
0
Ward
Zibanejad
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Ward
Zibanejad
Edge
Even Strength
55.0% (80)
48.8% (334)
+6.2%
Power Play
43.9% (57)
36.4% (55)
+7.5%
Penalty Kill
33.9% (62)
0.0% (8)
+33.9%
On penalty kill, Ward has a +33.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zibanejad shoots right. Ward is 28.1% vs right-shot opponents (32).
Ward shoots right. Zibanejad is 45.1% vs right-shot opponents (122).
Home / Away
Ward
Zibanejad
Home
50.9% (114)
47.3% (203)
Away
37.6% (85)
44.8% (194)
By Period
Ward
Zibanejad
P1
42.6%
44.8%
P2
38.5%
44.8%
P3
54.8%
49.5%
OT
28.6%
44.4%
Final 5 min
41.8%
42.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Ward
44.0%▼
47.0%
45.2%
Zibanejad
50.0%▼
51.5%
46.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 21, 2014 | 1 | 01:56 | Offensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Dec 30, 2013 | 3 | 01:49 | Offensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Dec 30, 2013 | 2 | 16:48 | Offensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Dec 30, 2013 | 2 | 03:42 | Defensive | Joel Ward |
| Dec 30, 2013 | 1 | 16:51 | Offensive | Mika Zibanejad |