Scouting Report
Mikko Koivu holds a +5.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Ward on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Ward 48.4% vs Koivu 54.0% (-5.7%)
H2H factor
Koivu leads 9-9 in 18 meetings
Offensive zone
Koivu 59.5%
Defensive zone
Ward 55.3%
Neutral zone
Koivu 51.7%
Result
Mikko Koivu favored at 52.0%
48.0%
52.0%
Ward
Koivu
Head-to-Head Record
9
-
9
(18 meetings)
9
9
Ward
Koivu
Last 10: Ward 4-6 Koivu
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Koivu
3
4
Ward
Koivu
7 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Koivu
3
4
Ward
Koivu
7 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Ward
3
1
Ward
Koivu
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Ward
Koivu
Edge
Even Strength
51.3% (1,186)
54.0% (9,465)
-2.7%
Power Play
53.4% (238)
58.6% (2,100)
-5.2%
Penalty Kill
35.5% (366)
48.9% (1,688)
-13.4%
On penalty kill, Koivu has a +13.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Koivu shoots left. Ward is 48.6% vs left-shot opponents (1,320).
Ward shoots right. Koivu is 55.5% vs right-shot opponents (4,595).
Home / Away
Ward
Koivu
Home
50.3% (870)
55.8% (6,577)
Away
46.5% (921)
52.3% (6,719)
By Period
Ward
Koivu
P1
47.6%
53.5%
P2
47.5%
54.6%
P3
50.3%
54.0%
OT
30.8%
56.5%
Final 5 min
45.4%
53.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Ward
44.0%▼
47.0%
48.4%
Koivu
44.0%▼
52.5%
54.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 10, 2017 | 2 | 13:16 | Defensive | Joel Ward |
| Dec 10, 2017 | 1 | 08:13 | Defensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Mar 21, 2017 | 3 | 15:42 | Offensive | Joel Ward |
| Mar 5, 2017 | 1 | 19:53 | Defensive | Joel Ward |
| Jan 5, 2017 | 3 | 17:45 | Neutral | Mikko Koivu |
| Jan 5, 2017 | 2 | 18:59 | Neutral | Joel Ward |
| Jan 5, 2017 | 2 | 13:55 | Offensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Apr 5, 2016 | 2 | 00:38 | Defensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Apr 5, 2016 | 1 | 18:58 | Defensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Jan 23, 2016 | 3 | 07:55 | Offensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Jan 23, 2016 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Joel Ward |
| Jan 23, 2016 | 1 | 14:17 | Offensive | Joel Ward |
| Jan 23, 2016 | 1 | 05:49 | Defensive | Joel Ward |
| Dec 12, 2015 | 2 | 18:15 | Offensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Mar 19, 2015 | 2 | 06:41 | Offensive | Joel Ward |
| Jan 4, 2014 | 2 | 06:56 | Neutral | Joel Ward |
| Jan 11, 2011 | 1 | 16:51 | Offensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Nov 26, 2010 | 2 | 12:43 | Defensive | Mikko Koivu |