Scouting Report
Joel Ward holds a +3.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Ward on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Ward 49.3% vs Getzlaf 46.1% (+3.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Getzlaf 57.4%
Defensive zone
Ward 60.1%
Neutral zone
Getzlaf 51.5%
Result
Joel Ward favored at 53.1%
53.1%
46.9%
Ward
Getzlaf
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Ward
Getzlaf
Last 5: Ward 3-2 Getzlaf
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Getzlaf
0
2
Ward
Getzlaf
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Ward
3
0
Ward
Getzlaf
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Ward
Getzlaf
Edge
Even Strength
51.0% (96)
45.7% (900)
+5.3%
Power Play
57.1% (35)
49.7% (197)
+7.4%
Penalty Kill
36.1% (36)
38.8% (49)
-2.7%
On power play, Ward has a +7.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Getzlaf shoots right. Ward is 48.6% vs right-shot opponents (37).
Ward shoots right. Getzlaf is 51.7% vs right-shot opponents (240).
Home / Away
Ward
Getzlaf
Home
48.6% (74)
48.0% (548)
Away
48.9% (94)
43.9% (635)
By Period
Ward
Getzlaf
P1
43.4%
43.3%
P2
56.9%
51.1%
P3
46.4%
42.0%
OT
0.0%
58.3%
Final 5 min
47.6%
42.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Ward
44.0%▼
47.0%
48.8%
Getzlaf
54.0%▬
53.5%
45.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 24, 2011 | 2 | 15:57 | Defensive | Joel Ward |
| Nov 7, 2010 | 3 | 01:50 | Defensive | Joel Ward |
| Nov 7, 2010 | 1 | 18:54 | Offensive | Ryan Getzlaf |
| Oct 9, 2010 | 3 | 01:23 | Offensive | Ryan Getzlaf |
| Oct 9, 2010 | 2 | 13:14 | Defensive | Joel Ward |