Scouting Report
Ryan Getzlaf holds a +1.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Getzlaf on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Ward 48.4% vs Getzlaf 49.4% (-1.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Getzlaf 66.3%
Defensive zone
Ward 79.9%
Neutral zone
Ward 59.3%
Result
Joel Ward favored at 54.2%
54.2%
45.8%
Ward
Getzlaf
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
5
(8 meetings)
3
5
Ward
Getzlaf
Last 8: Ward 3-5 Getzlaf
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
2
2
Ward
Getzlaf
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Getzlaf
1
2
Ward
Getzlaf
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Getzlaf
0
1
Ward
Getzlaf
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Ward
Getzlaf
Edge
Even Strength
49.3% (353)
48.1% (939)
+1.2%
Power Play
69.0% (42)
56.8% (222)
+12.2%
Penalty Kill
34.7% (98)
41.4% (58)
-6.7%
On power play, Ward has a +12.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Getzlaf shoots right. Ward is 51.0% vs right-shot opponents (155).
Ward shoots right. Getzlaf is 53.2% vs right-shot opponents (325).
Home / Away
Ward
Getzlaf
Home
48.4% (219)
49.4% (591)
Away
47.8% (274)
49.4% (628)
By Period
Ward
Getzlaf
P1
43.0%
50.0%
P2
51.4%
47.4%
P3
50.0%
50.6%
OT
33.3%
58.3%
Final 5 min
41.8%
49.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Ward
44.0%▼
47.0%
48.1%
Getzlaf
54.0%▬
53.5%
49.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 2, 2016 | 3 | 10:04 | Neutral | Ryan Getzlaf |
| Feb 2, 2016 | 3 | 01:47 | Defensive | Joel Ward |
| Feb 2, 2016 | 2 | 07:51 | Offensive | Joel Ward |
| Dec 4, 2015 | 3 | 16:37 | Offensive | Ryan Getzlaf |
| Dec 4, 2015 | 3 | 04:39 | Offensive | Ryan Getzlaf |
| Nov 7, 2015 | 1 | 16:19 | Offensive | Joel Ward |
| Nov 7, 2015 | 1 | 06:53 | Defensive | Ryan Getzlaf |
| Oct 10, 2015 | 3 | 07:07 | Defensive | Ryan Getzlaf |