Joel Ward vs Ryan Nugent-Hopkins
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Joel Ward holds a +3.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Ward on defensive-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Ward 48.4% vs Nugent-Hopkins 44.7% (+3.7%)
H2H factor
Ward leads 8-7 in 15 meetings
Offensive zone
Nugent-Hopkins 52.5%
Defensive zone
Ward 63.0%
Neutral zone
Ward 54.8%
Result
Joel Ward favored at 55.6%
55.6%
44.4%
Ward
Nugent-Hopkins
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
7
(15 meetings)
8
7
Ward
Nugent-Hopkins
Last 10: Ward 5-5 Nugent-Hopkins
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
2
2
Ward
Nugent-Hopkins
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Ward
3
2
Ward
Nugent-Hopkins
5 total
Neutral Zone
Even
3
3
Ward
Nugent-Hopkins
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Ward
Nugent-Hopkins
Edge
Even Strength
51.3% (1,186)
44.9% (8,714)
+6.4%
Power Play
53.4% (238)
50.3% (829)
+3.1%
Penalty Kill
35.5% (366)
37.8% (875)
-2.3%
On even strength, Ward has a +6.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nugent-Hopkins shoots left. Ward is 48.6% vs left-shot opponents (1,320).
Ward shoots right. Nugent-Hopkins is 44.9% vs right-shot opponents (3,625).
Home / Away
Ward
Nugent-Hopkins
Home
50.3% (870)
46.4% (5,318)
Away
46.5% (921)
42.9% (5,112)
By Period
Ward
Nugent-Hopkins
P1
47.6%
45.1%
P2
47.5%
43.8%
P3
50.3%
45.2%
OT
30.8%
43.5%
Final 5 min
45.4%
43.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Ward
44.0%▼
47.0%
48.4%
Nugent-Hopkins
48.0%▲
46.5%
44.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 18, 2017 | 1 | 16:44 | Neutral | Joel Ward |
| Dec 18, 2017 | 1 | 13:06 | Neutral | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Dec 18, 2017 | 1 | 04:03 | Defensive | Joel Ward |
| Apr 6, 2017 | 3 | 15:24 | Offensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Apr 6, 2017 | 1 | 19:44 | Neutral | Joel Ward |
| Apr 6, 2017 | 1 | 10:03 | Neutral | Joel Ward |
| Apr 6, 2017 | 1 | 02:47 | Neutral | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Jan 26, 2017 | 3 | 02:25 | Offensive | Joel Ward |
| Jan 26, 2017 | 1 | 10:59 | Defensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Jan 10, 2017 | 2 | 11:03 | Defensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Dec 23, 2016 | 2 | 04:07 | Defensive | Joel Ward |
| Dec 23, 2016 | 1 | 07:38 | Offensive | Joel Ward |
| Dec 9, 2015 | 2 | 03:57 | Offensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Dec 9, 2015 | 1 | 12:23 | Neutral | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Oct 14, 2013 | 3 | 13:04 | Defensive | Joel Ward |