Scouting Report
Saku Koivu holds a +3.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Koivu on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Ward 48.4% vs Koivu 51.8% (-3.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Ward 63.8%
Defensive zone
Koivu 51.0%
Neutral zone
Ward 58.4%
Result
Joel Ward favored at 56.7%
56.7%
43.3%
Ward
Koivu
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
4
(7 meetings)
3
4
Ward
Koivu
Last 7: Ward 3-4 Koivu
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Koivu
1
2
Ward
Koivu
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Koivu
1
2
Ward
Koivu
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Ward
1
0
Ward
Koivu
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Ward
Koivu
Edge
Even Strength
51.3% (1,186)
51.9% (3,221)
-0.6%
Power Play
53.4% (238)
59.3% (437)
-5.9%
Penalty Kill
35.5% (366)
48.0% (764)
-12.5%
On penalty kill, Koivu has a +12.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Koivu shoots left. Ward is 48.6% vs left-shot opponents (1,320).
Ward shoots right. Koivu is 52.0% vs right-shot opponents (1,337).
Home / Away
Ward
Koivu
Home
50.3% (870)
53.5% (2,281)
Away
46.5% (921)
50.1% (2,209)
By Period
Ward
Koivu
P1
47.6%
51.1%
P2
47.5%
52.6%
P3
50.3%
51.8%
OT
30.8%
52.3%
Final 5 min
45.4%
55.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Ward
44.0%▼
47.0%
48.4%
Koivu
46.0%▼
50.0%
51.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 18, 2014 | 2 | 04:08 | Offensive | Saku Koivu |
| Dec 23, 2013 | 3 | 02:05 | Neutral | Joel Ward |
| Mar 24, 2011 | 3 | 09:03 | Offensive | Saku Koivu |
| Mar 24, 2011 | 2 | 04:45 | Defensive | Saku Koivu |
| Nov 7, 2010 | 2 | 12:08 | Offensive | Joel Ward |
| Nov 7, 2010 | 2 | 09:56 | Defensive | Saku Koivu |
| Nov 7, 2010 | 2 | 06:37 | Defensive | Joel Ward |