Scouting Report
Sidney Crosby holds a +7.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Crosby on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Ward 46.8% vs Crosby 52.4% (-7.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Ward 74.0%
Defensive zone
Ward 82.3%
Neutral zone
Ward 75.6%
Result
Joel Ward favored at 79.0%
79.0%
21.0%
Ward
Crosby
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Ward
Crosby
Last 5: Ward 1-4 Crosby
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Crosby
0
2
Ward
Crosby
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Crosby
1
2
Ward
Crosby
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Ward
Crosby
Edge
Even Strength
55.0% (80)
50.9% (1,345)
+4.1%
Power Play
43.9% (57)
59.5% (439)
-15.6%
Penalty Kill
33.9% (62)
44.7% (103)
-10.8%
On power play, Crosby has a +15.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Crosby shoots left. Ward is 48.5% vs left-shot opponents (167).
Ward shoots right. Crosby is 51.9% vs right-shot opponents (707).
Home / Away
Ward
Crosby
Home
50.9% (114)
53.9% (941)
Away
37.6% (85)
51.2% (946)
By Period
Ward
Crosby
P1
42.6%
49.3%
P2
38.5%
54.5%
P3
54.8%
53.9%
OT
28.6%
48.6%
Final 5 min
41.8%
49.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Ward
44.0%▼
47.0%
45.2%
Crosby
64.0%▲
54.5%
52.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 11, 2014 | 3 | 16:50 | Defensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Mar 11, 2014 | 3 | 10:55 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Mar 11, 2014 | 2 | 19:16 | Defensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Jan 15, 2014 | 1 | 12:35 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Nov 20, 2013 | 1 | 12:47 | Defensive | Joel Ward |