Scouting Report
Tomas Plekanec holds a +1.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Plekanec on offensive-zone draws (56% H2H, 9 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Ward 48.4% vs Plekanec 50.1% (-1.7%)
H2H factor
Plekanec leads 8-7 in 15 meetings
Offensive zone
Ward 56.2%
Defensive zone
Ward 53.3%
Neutral zone
Ward 59.6%
Result
Joel Ward favored at 55.9%
55.9%
44.1%
Ward
Plekanec
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
8
(15 meetings)
7
8
Ward
Plekanec
Last 10: Ward 5-5 Plekanec
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Plekanec
4
5
Ward
Plekanec
9 total
Defensive Zone
Even
2
2
Ward
Plekanec
4 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Ward
Plekanec
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Ward
Plekanec
Edge
Even Strength
51.3% (1,186)
50.8% (8,558)
+0.5%
Power Play
53.4% (238)
51.3% (1,151)
+2.1%
Penalty Kill
35.5% (366)
46.0% (1,924)
-10.5%
On penalty kill, Plekanec has a +10.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Plekanec shoots left. Ward is 48.6% vs left-shot opponents (1,320).
Ward shoots right. Plekanec is 51.7% vs right-shot opponents (4,678).
Home / Away
Ward
Plekanec
Home
50.3% (870)
51.1% (5,909)
Away
46.5% (921)
49.1% (5,818)
By Period
Ward
Plekanec
P1
47.6%
52.5%
P2
47.5%
48.9%
P3
50.3%
49.0%
OT
30.8%
51.1%
Final 5 min
45.4%
49.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Ward
44.0%▼
47.0%
48.4%
Plekanec
56.0%▬
56.5%
50.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 2, 2016 | 3 | 03:47 | Offensive | Tomas Plekanec |
| Dec 2, 2016 | 1 | 15:06 | Offensive | Joel Ward |
| Dec 2, 2016 | 1 | 12:58 | Offensive | Joel Ward |
| Dec 2, 2016 | 1 | 06:28 | Defensive | Tomas Plekanec |
| Feb 29, 2016 | 2 | 15:48 | Offensive | Joel Ward |
| Feb 29, 2016 | 2 | 13:09 | Offensive | Tomas Plekanec |
| Dec 15, 2015 | 3 | 18:11 | Neutral | Tomas Plekanec |
| Dec 15, 2015 | 3 | 01:37 | Offensive | Tomas Plekanec |
| Dec 15, 2015 | 2 | 17:31 | Defensive | Joel Ward |
| Dec 15, 2015 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Joel Ward |
| Dec 15, 2015 | 1 | 04:19 | Defensive | Joel Ward |
| Apr 2, 2015 | 2 | 12:40 | Offensive | Joel Ward |
| Jan 31, 2015 | 2 | 11:08 | Defensive | Tomas Plekanec |
| Nov 29, 2013 | 1 | 12:48 | Offensive | Tomas Plekanec |
| Nov 18, 2010 | 1 | 03:53 | Offensive | Tomas Plekanec |