Scouting Report
Tyler Bozak holds a +5.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Bozak on offensive-zone draws (92% H2H, 12 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Ward 48.4% vs Bozak 53.4% (-5.1%)
H2H factor
Bozak leads 21-5 in 26 meetings
Offensive zone
Ward 87.0%
Defensive zone
Ward 81.3%
Neutral zone
Ward 79.9%
Result
Joel Ward favored at 83.7%
83.7%
16.3%
Ward
Bozak
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
21
(26 meetings)
5
21
Ward
Bozak
Last 10: Ward 2-8 Bozak
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Bozak
1
11
Ward
Bozak
12 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bozak
3
7
Ward
Bozak
10 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Bozak
1
3
Ward
Bozak
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Ward
Bozak
Edge
Even Strength
51.3% (1,186)
53.7% (9,596)
-2.4%
Power Play
53.4% (238)
55.2% (1,990)
-1.8%
Penalty Kill
35.5% (366)
48.0% (1,094)
-12.5%
On penalty kill, Bozak has a +12.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bozak shoots right. Ward is 47.6% vs right-shot opponents (471).
Ward shoots right. Bozak is 56.0% vs right-shot opponents (4,312).
Home / Away
Ward
Bozak
Home
50.3% (870)
56.0% (6,333)
Away
46.5% (921)
51.0% (6,396)
By Period
Ward
Bozak
P1
47.6%
53.2%
P2
47.5%
52.8%
P3
50.3%
54.5%
OT
30.8%
52.9%
Final 5 min
45.4%
53.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Ward
44.0%▼
47.0%
48.4%
Bozak
46.0%▼
48.5%
53.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 4, 2018 | 2 | 10:35 | Defensive | Joel Ward |
| Jan 4, 2018 | 2 | 07:36 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Jan 4, 2018 | 1 | 13:11 | Neutral | Joel Ward |
| Jan 4, 2018 | 1 | 13:03 | Defensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Jan 9, 2016 | 3 | 16:43 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Jan 9, 2016 | 3 | 00:22 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Dec 17, 2015 | 3 | 17:30 | Neutral | Tyler Bozak |
| Dec 17, 2015 | 3 | 15:03 | Defensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Dec 17, 2015 | 3 | 12:18 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Dec 17, 2015 | 3 | 06:05 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Dec 17, 2015 | 3 | 03:48 | Defensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Dec 17, 2015 | 2 | 05:47 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Dec 17, 2015 | 1 | 13:40 | Defensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Dec 17, 2015 | 1 | 13:25 | Offensive | Joel Ward |
| Dec 17, 2015 | 1 | 09:20 | Neutral | Tyler Bozak |
| Dec 17, 2015 | 1 | 06:16 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Mar 1, 2015 | 1 | 06:53 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Mar 16, 2014 | 2 | 08:54 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Jan 10, 2014 | 1 | 03:49 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Jan 31, 2013 | 2 | 13:58 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |