Scouting Report
Tyler Bozak holds a +8.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Bozak on offensive-zone draws (86% H2H, 7 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Ward 48.4% vs Bozak 55.8% (-8.3%)
H2H factor
Bozak leads 11-1 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
Ward 69.5%
Defensive zone
Ward 91.0%
Neutral zone
Ward 75.8%
Result
Joel Ward favored at 75.9%
75.9%
24.1%
Ward
Bozak
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
11
(12 meetings)
1
11
Ward
Bozak
Last 10: Ward 1-9 Bozak
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Bozak
1
6
Ward
Bozak
7 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bozak
0
3
Ward
Bozak
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Bozak
0
2
Ward
Bozak
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Ward
Bozak
Edge
Even Strength
49.3% (353)
56.4% (837)
-7.1%
Power Play
69.0% (42)
60.8% (186)
+8.2%
Penalty Kill
34.7% (98)
33.3% (36)
+1.4%
On power play, Ward has a +8.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bozak shoots right. Ward is 51.0% vs right-shot opponents (155).
Ward shoots right. Bozak is 58.8% vs right-shot opponents (405).
Home / Away
Ward
Bozak
Home
48.4% (219)
58.7% (516)
Away
47.8% (274)
54.1% (543)
By Period
Ward
Bozak
P1
43.0%
55.7%
P2
51.4%
53.4%
P3
50.0%
59.7%
OT
33.3%
63.2%
Final 5 min
41.8%
53.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Ward
44.0%▼
47.0%
48.1%
Bozak
46.0%▼
48.5%
56.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 9, 2016 | 3 | 16:43 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Jan 9, 2016 | 3 | 00:22 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Dec 17, 2015 | 3 | 17:30 | Neutral | Tyler Bozak |
| Dec 17, 2015 | 3 | 15:03 | Defensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Dec 17, 2015 | 3 | 12:18 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Dec 17, 2015 | 3 | 06:05 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Dec 17, 2015 | 3 | 03:48 | Defensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Dec 17, 2015 | 2 | 05:47 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Dec 17, 2015 | 1 | 13:40 | Defensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Dec 17, 2015 | 1 | 13:25 | Offensive | Joel Ward |
| Dec 17, 2015 | 1 | 09:20 | Neutral | Tyler Bozak |
| Dec 17, 2015 | 1 | 06:16 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |