Scouting Report
Vernon Fiddler holds a +4.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Ward on offensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Ward 49.1% vs Fiddler 53.2% (-4.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Fiddler 53.7%
Defensive zone
Fiddler 88.9%
Neutral zone
Fiddler 73.0%
Result
Vernon Fiddler favored at 59.6%
40.4%
59.6%
Ward
Fiddler
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Ward
Fiddler
Last 6: Ward 4-2 Fiddler
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Ward
4
1
Ward
Fiddler
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Fiddler
0
1
Ward
Fiddler
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Ward
Fiddler
Edge
Even Strength
52.8% (339)
54.7% (561)
-1.9%
Power Play
48.5% (33)
62.5% (8)
-14.0%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (84)
48.3% (120)
-15.0%
On penalty kill, Fiddler has a +15.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Fiddler shoots left. Ward is 49.0% vs left-shot opponents (353).
Ward shoots right. Fiddler is 53.4% vs right-shot opponents (268).
Home / Away
Ward
Fiddler
Home
53.4% (251)
53.9% (308)
Away
43.4% (205)
53.5% (381)
By Period
Ward
Fiddler
P1
49.4%
53.1%
P2
46.9%
53.2%
P3
50.3%
54.8%
Final 5 min
47.1%
52.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Ward
44.0%▼
47.0%
48.9%
Fiddler
54.0%▼
58.5%
53.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 25, 2017 | 3 | 00:34 | Offensive | Joel Ward |
| Mar 25, 2017 | 1 | 14:45 | Offensive | Joel Ward |
| Nov 21, 2016 | 3 | 18:54 | Offensive | Joel Ward |
| Nov 21, 2016 | 3 | 08:41 | Offensive | Joel Ward |
| Nov 21, 2016 | 2 | 15:34 | Defensive | Vernon Fiddler |
| Nov 21, 2016 | 1 | 18:15 | Offensive | Vernon Fiddler |