Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (48.4% vs 48.3%).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Ward 48.4% vs Gourde 48.3% (+0.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Gourde 50.9%
Defensive zone
Ward 50.9%
Neutral zone
Ward 50.5%
Result
Joel Ward favored at 50.9%
50.9%
49.1%
Ward
Gourde
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Ward
Gourde
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Ward
1
0
Ward
Gourde
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Ward
Gourde
Edge
Even Strength
51.3% (1,186)
48.5% (4,763)
+2.8%
Power Play
53.4% (238)
57.5% (367)
-4.1%
Penalty Kill
35.5% (366)
39.9% (534)
-4.4%
On penalty kill, Gourde has a +4.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gourde shoots left. Ward is 48.6% vs left-shot opponents (1,320).
Ward shoots right. Gourde is 46.9% vs right-shot opponents (1,873).
Home / Away
Ward
Gourde
Home
50.3% (870)
49.4% (2,808)
Away
46.5% (921)
47.2% (2,856)
By Period
Ward
Gourde
P1
47.6%
50.4%
P2
47.5%
47.2%
P3
50.3%
47.2%
OT
30.8%
38.5%
Final 5 min
45.4%
47.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Ward
44.0%▼
47.0%
48.4%
Gourde
50.0%▲
43.5%
48.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8, 2017 | 3 | 04:48 | Defensive | Joel Ward |