Scouting Report
Johan Franzen holds a +5.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Sutter on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Sutter wins 45.7% vs left-shot opponents — Franzen shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Sutter 47.9% vs Franzen 52.0% (-5.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Franzen 84.6%
Defensive zone
Sutter 70.0%
Neutral zone
Sutter 52.2%
Result
Brandon Sutter favored at 55.5%
55.5%
44.5%
Sutter
Franzen
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
0
(5 meetings)
5
0
Sutter
Franzen
Last 5: Sutter 5-0 Franzen
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Sutter
1
0
Sutter
Franzen
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Sutter
3
0
Sutter
Franzen
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Sutter
1
0
Sutter
Franzen
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Sutter
Franzen
Edge
Even Strength
49.6% (863)
52.3% (149)
-2.7%
Power Play
50.0% (72)
54.3% (70)
-4.3%
Penalty Kill
39.5% (215)
50.0% (6)
-10.5%
On penalty kill, Franzen has a +10.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Franzen shoots left. Sutter is 45.7% vs left-shot opponents (749).
Sutter shoots right. Franzen is 52.9% vs right-shot opponents (87).
Home / Away
Sutter
Franzen
Home
48.5% (542)
54.7% (150)
Away
47.0% (608)
49.3% (75)
By Period
Sutter
Franzen
P1
49.2%
57.8%
P2
49.4%
52.6%
P3
44.6%
48.6%
OT
52.9%
53.8%
Final 5 min
45.2%
66.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Sutter
62.0%▲
57.0%
47.7%
Franzen
44.0%▼
49.5%
52.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 20, 2014 | 2 | 08:43 | Defensive | Brandon Sutter |
| Mar 20, 2014 | 2 | 04:08 | Defensive | Brandon Sutter |
| Mar 20, 2014 | 2 | 03:47 | Defensive | Brandon Sutter |
| Dec 14, 2013 | 3 | 12:26 | Offensive | Brandon Sutter |
| Dec 14, 2013 | 1 | 06:09 | Neutral | Brandon Sutter |