Scouting Report
Mike Richards holds a +1.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Franzen on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Franzen 49.0% vs Richards 50.5% (-1.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Franzen 69.3%
Defensive zone
Richards 61.6%
Neutral zone
Franzen 55.6%
Result
Johan Franzen favored at 60.4%
60.4%
39.6%
Franzen
Richards
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Franzen
Richards
Last 5: Franzen 2-3 Richards
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Franzen
2
1
Franzen
Richards
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Richards
0
1
Franzen
Richards
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Richards
0
1
Franzen
Richards
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Franzen
Richards
Edge
Even Strength
48.5% (464)
50.0% (3,722)
-1.5%
Power Play
51.0% (149)
54.6% (445)
-3.6%
Penalty Kill
42.9% (14)
51.4% (502)
-8.5%
On penalty kill, Richards has a +8.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Richards shoots left. Franzen is 47.2% vs left-shot opponents (413).
Franzen shoots left. Richards is 50.1% vs left-shot opponents (3,122).
Home / Away
Franzen
Richards
Home
51.1% (368)
50.8% (2,363)
Away
45.6% (261)
50.3% (2,336)
By Period
Franzen
Richards
P1
51.9%
49.6%
P2
50.0%
52.3%
P3
43.5%
49.3%
OT
52.9%
58.0%
Final 5 min
52.1%
48.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Franzen
44.0%▼
49.5%
48.8%
Richards
58.0%▲
48.0%
50.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 13, 2012 | 3 | 16:41 | Offensive | Mike Richards |
| Mar 13, 2012 | 1 | 18:38 | Offensive | Johan Franzen |
| Mar 13, 2012 | 1 | 15:54 | Offensive | Johan Franzen |
| Mar 13, 2012 | 1 | 13:15 | Neutral | Mike Richards |
| Mar 9, 2012 | 1 | 18:45 | Defensive | Mike Richards |