Scouting Report
Johan Franzen holds a +4.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Franzen on neutral-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Franzen 52.0% vs Bjugstad 49.0% (+4.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Franzen 74.7%
Defensive zone
Franzen 51.4%
Neutral zone
Franzen 64.8%
Result
Johan Franzen favored at 64.0%
64.0%
36.0%
Franzen
Bjugstad
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
2
(9 meetings)
7
2
Franzen
Bjugstad
Last 9: Franzen 7-2 Bjugstad
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Franzen
2
0
Franzen
Bjugstad
2 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Franzen
Bjugstad
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Franzen
4
1
Franzen
Bjugstad
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Franzen
Bjugstad
Edge
Even Strength
52.3% (149)
48.3% (937)
+4.0%
Power Play
54.3% (70)
56.1% (148)
-1.8%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (6)
34.2% (38)
+15.8%
On penalty kill, Franzen has a +15.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bjugstad shoots right. Franzen is 52.9% vs right-shot opponents (87).
Franzen shoots left. Bjugstad is 50.8% vs left-shot opponents (764).
Home / Away
Franzen
Bjugstad
Home
54.7% (150)
50.5% (574)
Away
49.3% (75)
47.2% (549)
By Period
Franzen
Bjugstad
P1
57.8%
52.4%
P2
52.6%
46.8%
P3
48.6%
45.5%
OT
53.8%
78.3%
Final 5 min
66.7%
48.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Franzen
44.0%▼
49.5%
52.9%
Bjugstad
40.0%▼
48.0%
48.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 26, 2014 | 3 | 01:41 | Defensive | Johan Franzen |
| Jan 26, 2014 | 2 | 11:03 | Neutral | Nick Bjugstad |
| Jan 26, 2014 | 2 | 04:24 | Defensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Jan 26, 2014 | 1 | 10:22 | Neutral | Johan Franzen |
| Jan 26, 2014 | 1 | 00:59 | Offensive | Johan Franzen |
| Dec 7, 2013 | 3 | 03:29 | Neutral | Johan Franzen |
| Dec 7, 2013 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Johan Franzen |
| Dec 7, 2013 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Johan Franzen |
| Dec 7, 2013 | 1 | 12:39 | Offensive | Johan Franzen |