Scouting Report
Nick Spaling holds a +1.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Franzen on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Franzen 49.0% vs Spaling 49.9% (-1.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Franzen 74.8%
Defensive zone
Spaling 66.7%
Neutral zone
Franzen 53.7%
Result
Johan Franzen favored at 54.0%
54.0%
46.0%
Franzen
Spaling
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
4
(7 meetings)
3
4
Franzen
Spaling
Last 7: Franzen 3-4 Spaling
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Franzen
3
0
Franzen
Spaling
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Spaling
0
3
Franzen
Spaling
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Spaling
0
1
Franzen
Spaling
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Franzen
Spaling
Edge
Even Strength
48.5% (464)
50.5% (2,263)
-2.0%
Power Play
51.0% (149)
43.4% (53)
+7.6%
Penalty Kill
42.9% (14)
48.0% (498)
-5.1%
On power play, Franzen has a +7.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Spaling shoots left. Franzen is 47.2% vs left-shot opponents (413).
Franzen shoots left. Spaling is 50.7% vs left-shot opponents (1,835).
Home / Away
Franzen
Spaling
Home
51.1% (368)
51.9% (1,437)
Away
45.6% (261)
47.8% (1,378)
By Period
Franzen
Spaling
P1
51.9%
49.8%
P2
50.0%
48.3%
P3
43.5%
52.0%
OT
52.9%
40.0%
Final 5 min
52.1%
51.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Franzen
44.0%▼
49.5%
48.8%
Spaling
58.0%▲
53.0%
49.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 9, 2015 | 1 | 12:19 | Defensive | Nick Spaling |
| Dec 26, 2011 | 1 | 19:07 | Offensive | Johan Franzen |
| Feb 9, 2011 | 3 | 18:06 | Defensive | Nick Spaling |
| Feb 9, 2011 | 3 | 12:18 | Defensive | Nick Spaling |
| Feb 9, 2011 | 3 | 02:37 | Offensive | Johan Franzen |
| Feb 9, 2011 | 2 | 18:38 | Neutral | Nick Spaling |
| Oct 30, 2010 | 2 | 16:28 | Offensive | Johan Franzen |