Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (48.8% vs 49.7%). Look for Franzen on defensive-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Franzen 49.0% vs Johnson 49.7% (-0.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Franzen 53.0%
Defensive zone
Johnson 69.0%
Neutral zone
Johnson 56.7%
Result
Tyler Johnson favored at 62.7%
37.3%
62.7%
Franzen
Johnson
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
2
(7 meetings)
5
2
Franzen
Johnson
Last 7: Franzen 5-2 Johnson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Franzen
2
0
Franzen
Johnson
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Franzen
3
2
Franzen
Johnson
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Franzen
Johnson
Edge
Even Strength
48.5% (464)
49.8% (5,396)
-1.3%
Power Play
51.0% (149)
54.6% (885)
-3.6%
Penalty Kill
42.9% (14)
42.3% (707)
+0.6%
On power play, Johnson has a +3.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johnson shoots right. Franzen is 51.9% vs right-shot opponents (216).
Franzen shoots left. Johnson is 49.6% vs left-shot opponents (4,785).
Home / Away
Franzen
Johnson
Home
51.1% (368)
52.5% (3,460)
Away
45.6% (261)
46.8% (3,528)
By Period
Franzen
Johnson
P1
51.9%
50.1%
P2
50.0%
50.6%
P3
43.5%
48.4%
OT
52.9%
42.5%
Final 5 min
52.1%
49.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Franzen
44.0%▼
49.5%
48.8%
Johnson
42.0%▼
48.0%
49.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 12, 2013 | 3 | 10:18 | Defensive | Johan Franzen |
| Dec 12, 2013 | 2 | 14:06 | Defensive | Johan Franzen |
| Dec 12, 2013 | 2 | 03:18 | Offensive | Johan Franzen |
| Dec 12, 2013 | 2 | 03:06 | Defensive | Tyler Johnson |
| Dec 12, 2013 | 1 | 16:37 | Offensive | Johan Franzen |
| Dec 12, 2013 | 1 | 03:50 | Defensive | Tyler Johnson |
| Dec 12, 2013 | 1 | 00:29 | Defensive | Johan Franzen |