Alexander Kerfoot vs Johan Larsson
2019-20 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Johan Larsson holds a +1.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Larsson on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Kerfoot wins 45.4% vs left-shot opponents — Larsson shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kerfoot 47.5% vs Larsson 48.4% (-1.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kerfoot 72.3%
Defensive zone
Larsson 76.7%
Neutral zone
Larsson 56.0%
Result
Johan Larsson favored at 60.8%
39.2%
60.8%
Kerfoot
Larsson
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
3
(7 meetings)
4
3
Kerfoot
Larsson
Last 7: Kerfoot 4-3 Larsson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kerfoot
1
0
Kerfoot
Larsson
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Larsson
1
2
Kerfoot
Larsson
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kerfoot
2
1
Kerfoot
Larsson
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kerfoot
Larsson
Edge
Even Strength
47.3% (372)
48.4% (506)
-1.1%
Power Play
46.4% (28)
62.5% (24)
-16.1%
Penalty Kill
28.6% (7)
44.9% (138)
-16.3%
On penalty kill, Larsson has a +16.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Larsson shoots left. Kerfoot is 45.4% vs left-shot opponents (280).
Kerfoot shoots left. Larsson is 49.0% vs left-shot opponents (447).
Home / Away
Kerfoot
Larsson
Home
53.2% (216)
51.9% (335)
Away
39.8% (191)
44.4% (333)
By Period
Kerfoot
Larsson
P1
43.2%
48.7%
P2
46.6%
48.3%
P3
51.0%
48.1%
OT
20.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
45.7%
47.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kerfoot
52.0%▼
53.5%
46.9%
Larsson
40.0%▼
46.5%
48.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 17, 2019 | 2 | 17:39 | Neutral | Alexander Kerfoot |
| Dec 17, 2019 | 1 | 12:02 | Defensive | Alexander Kerfoot |
| Dec 17, 2019 | 1 | 11:53 | Defensive | Johan Larsson |
| Nov 30, 2019 | 3 | 11:42 | Defensive | Johan Larsson |
| Nov 30, 2019 | 3 | 01:32 | Neutral | Alexander Kerfoot |
| Nov 30, 2019 | 3 | 01:10 | Offensive | Alexander Kerfoot |
| Nov 30, 2019 | 2 | 17:42 | Neutral | Johan Larsson |