Scouting Report
Ben Smith holds a +3.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Smith on defensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Smith 52.6% vs Larsson 51.0% (+3.0%)
H2H factor
Larsson leads 7-6 in 13 meetings
Offensive zone
Larsson 55.5%
Defensive zone
Smith 57.6%
Neutral zone
Larsson 57.8%
Result
Johan Larsson favored at 51.3%
48.7%
51.3%
Smith
Larsson
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
7
(13 meetings)
6
7
Smith
Larsson
Last 10: Smith 6-4 Larsson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Larsson
1
2
Smith
Larsson
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Smith
4
1
Smith
Larsson
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Larsson
1
4
Smith
Larsson
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Smith
Larsson
Edge
Even Strength
52.8% (127)
51.3% (696)
+1.5%
Power Play
100.0% (1)
56.3% (32)
+43.7%
Penalty Kill
56.1% (57)
41.9% (31)
+14.2%
On power play, Smith has a +43.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Larsson shoots left. Smith is 50.4% vs left-shot opponents (127).
Smith shoots right. Larsson is 50.5% vs right-shot opponents (275).
Home / Away
Smith
Larsson
Home
56.2% (121)
51.1% (356)
Away
50.0% (64)
51.1% (403)
By Period
Smith
Larsson
P1
55.7%
54.6%
P2
46.3%
51.9%
P3
57.4%
46.7%
OT
100.0%
54.5%
Final 5 min
62.5%
51.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Smith
38.0%▼
49.0%
54.1%
Larsson
40.0%▼
46.5%
51.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 19, 2016 | 3 | 14:06 | Defensive | Ben Smith |
| Mar 19, 2016 | 3 | 07:51 | Defensive | Ben Smith |
| Mar 19, 2016 | 2 | 11:06 | Neutral | Johan Larsson |
| Mar 7, 2016 | OT | 04:44 | Defensive | Ben Smith |
| Mar 7, 2016 | 3 | 09:41 | Neutral | Johan Larsson |
| Mar 7, 2016 | 3 | 07:54 | Offensive | Ben Smith |
| Mar 7, 2016 | 3 | 02:37 | Neutral | Ben Smith |
| Mar 7, 2016 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Johan Larsson |
| Mar 7, 2016 | 2 | 14:55 | Defensive | Johan Larsson |
| Mar 7, 2016 | 1 | 06:56 | Defensive | Ben Smith |
| Mar 7, 2016 | 1 | 13:53 | Offensive | Johan Larsson |
| Mar 7, 2016 | 1 | 02:58 | Offensive | Johan Larsson |
| Mar 7, 2016 | 1 | 00:25 | Neutral | Johan Larsson |