Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (48.9% vs 49.5%). Look for Larsson on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Wagner 49.0% vs Larsson 49.5% (-0.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Wagner 56.2%
Defensive zone
Wagner 52.5%
Neutral zone
Wagner 52.1%
Result
Chris Wagner favored at 52.1%
52.1%
47.9%
Wagner
Larsson
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
3
(4 meetings)
1
3
Wagner
Larsson
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Edge: Larsson
1
3
Wagner
Larsson
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Wagner
Larsson
Edge
Even Strength
50.8% (1,243)
50.5% (4,382)
+0.3%
Power Play
40.0% (20)
47.7% (153)
-7.7%
Penalty Kill
42.0% (307)
43.8% (714)
-1.8%
On power play, Larsson has a +7.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Larsson shoots left. Wagner is 49.8% vs left-shot opponents (1,162).
Wagner shoots right. Larsson is 49.4% vs right-shot opponents (1,847).
Home / Away
Wagner
Larsson
Home
49.8% (817)
51.2% (2,493)
Away
47.9% (753)
48.0% (2,756)
By Period
Wagner
Larsson
P1
48.6%
51.6%
P2
48.6%
49.7%
P3
49.5%
47.2%
OT
50.0%
52.3%
Final 5 min
49.2%
49.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Wagner
40.0%▼
49.5%
48.9%
Larsson
40.0%▼
46.5%
49.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 29, 2019 | 2 | 08:16 | Neutral | Johan Larsson |
| Dec 29, 2019 | 2 | 08:12 | Neutral | Johan Larsson |
| Dec 29, 2018 | 1 | 06:52 | Neutral | Johan Larsson |
| Oct 15, 2017 | 1 | 17:16 | Neutral | Chris Wagner |