Scouting Report
Johan Larsson holds a +5.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Larsson on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Ehn wins 44.2% vs left-shot opponents — Larsson shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Ehn 44.8% vs Larsson 48.4% (-5.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Ehn 79.6%
Defensive zone
Larsson 57.0%
Neutral zone
Ehn 58.8%
Result
Christoffer Ehn favored at 59.6%
59.6%
40.4%
Ehn
Larsson
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
5
(6 meetings)
1
5
Ehn
Larsson
Last 6: Ehn 1-5 Larsson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Larsson
0
1
Ehn
Larsson
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Larsson
0
1
Ehn
Larsson
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Larsson
1
3
Ehn
Larsson
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Ehn
Larsson
Edge
Even Strength
42.7% (211)
48.4% (506)
-5.7%
Power Play
20.0% (5)
62.5% (24)
-42.5%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (10)
44.9% (138)
+5.1%
On power play, Larsson has a +42.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Larsson shoots left. Ehn is 44.2% vs left-shot opponents (154).
Ehn shoots left. Larsson is 49.0% vs left-shot opponents (447).
Home / Away
Ehn
Larsson
Home
41.8% (122)
51.9% (335)
Away
43.3% (104)
44.4% (333)
By Period
Ehn
Larsson
P1
39.5%
48.7%
P2
49.4%
48.3%
P3
35.7%
48.1%
Final 5 min
43.8%
47.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Ehn
44.0%▲
41.5%
42.5%
Larsson
40.0%▼
46.5%
48.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 6, 2020 | 2 | 09:10 | Defensive | Johan Larsson |
| Jan 12, 2020 | 3 | 04:41 | Offensive | Johan Larsson |
| Jan 12, 2020 | 1 | 15:38 | Neutral | Christoffer Ehn |
| Jan 12, 2020 | 1 | 15:29 | Neutral | Johan Larsson |
| Jan 12, 2020 | 1 | 10:27 | Neutral | Johan Larsson |
| Jan 12, 2020 | 1 | 06:35 | Neutral | Johan Larsson |