Scouting Report
Johan Larsson holds a +11.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Larsson on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Malgin wins 40.6% vs left-shot opponents — Larsson shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Malgin 44.8% vs Larsson 50.6% (-11.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Malgin 94.5%
Defensive zone
Larsson 57.3%
Neutral zone
Malgin 65.2%
Result
Denis Malgin favored at 51.7%
51.7%
48.3%
Malgin
Larsson
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Malgin
Larsson
Last 5: Malgin 1-4 Larsson
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Larsson
1
2
Malgin
Larsson
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Larsson
0
2
Malgin
Larsson
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Malgin
Larsson
Edge
Even Strength
36.8% (87)
53.8% (773)
-17.0%
Power Play
100.0% (2)
0.0% (2)
+100.0%
Penalty Kill
66.7% (3)
39.9% (218)
+26.8%
On power play, Malgin has a +100.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Larsson shoots left. Malgin is 40.6% vs left-shot opponents (69).
Malgin shoots right. Larsson is 46.9% vs right-shot opponents (356).
Home / Away
Malgin
Larsson
Home
38.2% (34)
51.2% (490)
Away
39.7% (58)
50.1% (503)
By Period
Malgin
Larsson
P1
36.7%
50.6%
P2
42.9%
53.1%
P3
37.0%
48.3%
Final 5 min
50.0%
49.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Malgin
44.0%▲
40.5%
39.1%
Larsson
40.0%▼
46.5%
50.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 3, 2019 | 3 | 09:51 | Defensive | Johan Larsson |
| Jan 3, 2019 | 3 | 09:47 | Neutral | Johan Larsson |
| Jan 3, 2019 | 3 | 01:20 | Neutral | Johan Larsson |
| Jan 3, 2019 | 2 | 08:41 | Defensive | Denis Malgin |
| Jan 3, 2019 | 2 | 08:14 | Defensive | Johan Larsson |