Scouting Report
Johan Larsson holds a +1.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Malkin on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Malkin wins 46.8% vs left-shot opponents — Larsson shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Malkin 43.5% vs Larsson 45.4% (-1.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Larsson 55.9%
Defensive zone
Larsson 59.7%
Neutral zone
Larsson 66.1%
Result
Johan Larsson favored at 58.7%
41.3%
58.7%
Malkin
Larsson
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Malkin
Larsson
Last 5: Malkin 4-1 Larsson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Malkin
3
0
Malkin
Larsson
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Larsson
0
1
Malkin
Larsson
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Malkin
1
0
Malkin
Larsson
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Malkin
Larsson
Edge
Even Strength
43.1% (733)
45.2% (290)
-2.1%
Power Play
31.3% (16)
38.6% (44)
-7.3%
Penalty Kill
16.7% (6)
28.6% (7)
-11.9%
On penalty kill, Larsson has a +11.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Larsson shoots left. Malkin is 46.8% vs left-shot opponents (489).
Malkin shoots left. Larsson is 44.3% vs left-shot opponents (212).
Home / Away
Malkin
Larsson
Home
42.6% (338)
45.1% (153)
Away
42.7% (417)
43.1% (188)
By Period
Malkin
Larsson
P1
40.9%
45.3%
P2
45.3%
41.4%
P3
42.0%
44.0%
OT
40.0%
60.0%
Final 5 min
46.1%
38.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Malkin
36.0%▼
46.0%
42.6%
Larsson
40.0%▼
46.5%
44.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 11, 2015 | 3 | 06:44 | Offensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Apr 11, 2015 | 2 | 11:25 | Neutral | Evgeni Malkin |
| Apr 11, 2015 | 2 | 08:30 | Offensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Apr 11, 2015 | 1 | 13:22 | Defensive | Johan Larsson |
| Apr 11, 2015 | 1 | 10:38 | Offensive | Evgeni Malkin |