Scouting Report
Johan Larsson holds a +2.6% FO% edge overall. Malkin wins 46.4% vs left-shot opponents — Larsson shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Malkin 45.0% vs Larsson 46.9% (-2.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Malkin 69.2%
Defensive zone
Larsson 81.8%
Neutral zone
Larsson 57.5%
Result
Johan Larsson favored at 60.6%
39.4%
60.6%
Malkin
Larsson
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
3
(7 meetings)
4
3
Malkin
Larsson
Last 7: Malkin 4-3 Larsson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Malkin
1
0
Malkin
Larsson
1 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Malkin
Larsson
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Malkin
Larsson
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Malkin
Larsson
Edge
Even Strength
44.0% (366)
46.7% (345)
-2.7%
Power Play
30.0% (10)
61.1% (18)
-31.1%
On power play, Larsson has a +31.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Larsson shoots left. Malkin is 46.4% vs left-shot opponents (248).
Malkin shoots left. Larsson is 46.6% vs left-shot opponents (266).
Home / Away
Malkin
Larsson
Home
45.5% (202)
52.1% (167)
Away
41.4% (174)
42.4% (255)
By Period
Malkin
Larsson
P1
48.4%
50.0%
P2
41.7%
46.7%
P3
40.4%
42.6%
OT
50.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
42.7%
55.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Malkin
48.0%▬
47.0%
43.6%
Larsson
40.0%▼
46.5%
46.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 25, 2022 | 3 | 07:10 | Neutral | Johan Larsson |
| Jan 25, 2022 | 2 | 13:52 | Defensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Jan 25, 2022 | 2 | 08:23 | Neutral | Evgeni Malkin |
| Jan 25, 2022 | 1 | 13:45 | Neutral | Evgeni Malkin |
| Jan 25, 2022 | 1 | 13:37 | Offensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Jan 25, 2022 | 1 | 11:16 | Neutral | Johan Larsson |
| Jan 25, 2022 | 1 | 02:32 | Defensive | Johan Larsson |