Scouting Report
Jori Lehtera holds a +1.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Lehtera on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Larsson 49.5% vs Lehtera 50.7% (-1.2%)
H2H factor
Lehtera leads 10-5 in 15 meetings
Offensive zone
Lehtera 77.4%
Defensive zone
Larsson 84.9%
Neutral zone
Larsson 58.6%
Result
Johan Larsson favored at 53.2%
53.2%
46.8%
Larsson
Lehtera
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
10
(15 meetings)
5
10
Larsson
Lehtera
Last 10: Larsson 4-6 Lehtera
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Lehtera
0
3
Larsson
Lehtera
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Larsson
1
0
Larsson
Lehtera
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lehtera
4
7
Larsson
Lehtera
11 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Larsson
Lehtera
Edge
Even Strength
50.5% (4,382)
50.4% (2,714)
+0.1%
Power Play
47.7% (153)
55.8% (339)
-8.1%
Penalty Kill
43.8% (714)
41.3% (104)
+2.5%
On power play, Lehtera has a +8.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Lehtera shoots left. Larsson is 49.6% vs left-shot opponents (3,402).
Larsson shoots left. Lehtera is 52.1% vs left-shot opponents (2,033).
Home / Away
Larsson
Lehtera
Home
51.2% (2,493)
53.7% (1,668)
Away
48.0% (2,756)
47.4% (1,489)
By Period
Larsson
Lehtera
P1
51.6%
53.2%
P2
49.7%
50.6%
P3
47.2%
48.1%
OT
52.3%
54.3%
Final 5 min
49.4%
48.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Larsson
40.0%▼
46.5%
49.5%
Lehtera
42.0%▼
56.5%
50.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 8, 2018 | 3 | 11:36 | Defensive | Johan Larsson |
| Nov 15, 2016 | 3 | 02:29 | Neutral | Jori Lehtera |
| Nov 15, 2016 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jori Lehtera |
| Nov 15, 2016 | 2 | 10:29 | Offensive | Jori Lehtera |
| Nov 15, 2016 | 1 | 09:27 | Offensive | Jori Lehtera |
| Nov 15, 2016 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Johan Larsson |
| Nov 23, 2015 | 3 | 05:13 | Neutral | Johan Larsson |
| Nov 23, 2015 | 3 | 05:07 | Neutral | Johan Larsson |
| Nov 23, 2015 | 3 | 02:19 | Offensive | Jori Lehtera |
| Nov 23, 2015 | 2 | 06:21 | Neutral | Jori Lehtera |
| Nov 23, 2015 | 2 | 05:49 | Neutral | Jori Lehtera |
| Nov 23, 2015 | 2 | 00:22 | Neutral | Jori Lehtera |
| Nov 19, 2015 | 2 | 11:56 | Neutral | Johan Larsson |
| Nov 19, 2015 | 2 | 01:31 | Neutral | Jori Lehtera |
| Nov 19, 2015 | 1 | 14:00 | Neutral | Jori Lehtera |